Game 53: Tigers at Angels

PREGAME: Detroit tries to avoid being swept and moving 11 games below .500. Oy.

Armando Galarraga against Joe Saunders.

Notes from Jason Beck include that Curtis Granderson is going to play against more lefties, starting tonight. Also Marcus Thames is the full time starting left fielder for the time being because he’s earned it over the last couple years. Make of that what you will. And Carlos Guillen gets the day off, and tomorrow, to take care of some “issues” if you know what I mean.

The Tigers lineup tonight is:

  1. Granderson, CF
  2. Polanco, 2B
  3. Thames, LF
  4. Ordonez, DH
  5. Cabrera, 1B
  6. Rodriguez, C
  7. Renteria, SS
  8. Inge, 3B
  9. Raburn, RF

DET @ LAA, Wednesday, May 28, 2008 Game Preview – Baseball-Reference.com

POSTGAME: I’m sleepy. Offense – good. You go Marcus Thames. Pitching – good. Galarraga had a shaky first inning and was helped by a double play and a diving play. Then it was cruise control until the 9th. Defense – good. See aforementioned diving play and add 2 more double plays.

Ladies and gentlemen: Your 4th place Tigers!

Tigers Minor League Wrap 5-27-08

Buffalo 6 Toledo 2
Eddie Bonine took his first loss getting knocked around for 11 hits in just 2 innings. Clete Thomas was 3 for 5. Jeff Larish was 1 for 1 before exiting to get on a plane.

Reading 1 Erie 3

Jeff Frazier went 2 for 4. Andrew Kown allowed just 4 hits, 1 a homer, in 8 innings of 1 run ball. He fanned 5 and walked 1.

Tampa 4 Lakeland 3

Rick Porcello allowed 10 hits and 4 runs in 6 innings. He walked none and fanned 4 and recorded 11 ground ball outs. Scott Sizemore went 2 for 4.

West Michigan – DNP

Game 52: Tigers at Angels

PREGAME: It’s Jeremy Bonderman and Ervin Santana tonight as the Tigers try to snap a 19 inning scoreless streak.

Santana has been mediocre in his last 3 starts since coming off a complete game shut out. His pitch count has been running over 100 by the 6th inning despite the fact he isn’t walking many (only 15 in 66.2 innings). Of course I pointed out that Jon Garland wasn’t striking anyone out last night, and he fanned 5. So I’d expect Santana’s pitch count to be about 71 after the sixth.

The last time Jeremy Bonderman pitched in LAnaheim he surrendered 11 runs in only 2.1 innings. It was the beginning of the elbow problems for Bonderman. He’ll try to notch his 3rd straight quality start tonight.

It’s an odd lineup tonight reminiscent of the 2006 ALCS with Polanco batting 3rd.

  1. Granderson, CF
  2. Joyce, LF
  3. Polanco, 2B
  4. Ordonez, RF
  5. Cabrera, 1B
  6. Guillen, DH
  7. Renteria, SS
  8. Rodriguez, C
  9. Inge, 3B

DET @ LAA, Tuesday, May 27, 2008 Game Preview – Baseball-Reference.com

POSTGAME: Nice job Leyland. Way to take the guy that’s dealing out of the game. Things worked so well with Cruceta on Sunday. Beautiful.

And Lopez. Walking the .167 hitting number 9 hitter with 2 outs and becoming afraid to throw another pitch?

Jeremy Bonderman threw a grand total of 30 pitches for balls in 7.1 innings. Cruceta and Lopez combined to throw 22 in 1.1 innings. In-frickin-excusable.

Sheffield finally hits DL, Larish up

Gary Sheffield’s oblique strain suffered in last night’s game has landed him on the disabled list. Jeff Larish has been called up and is jetting to LA for tonight’s game. He won’t be DH’ing though. That role will be reserved for Carlos Guillen tonight. Apparently he is bothered by hemorrhoids which is limiting his mobility. I guess HIPAA doesn’t apply to baseball players.

As for Larish, he’s 25 year old lefty hitting first baseman. He was selected by the Tigers in the 2005 draft and was the runner up for Eastern League player of the year honors last year. He led the AA league in homers and RBI. This year he’s mashing to the tune of 274/369/589 for the Mud Hens.

Tigers Minor League Wrap 5-26-08

Buffalo 5 Toledo 3
Mike Hessman was 1 for 3 with 2 walks. Chris Lambert allowed 5 runs on 8 hits over 4.2 innings.

Erie 3 Akron 4
Jeff Frazier had 2 hits, as did Ryan Roberson. Dusty Ryan doubled and walked. Matt Righter allowed 3 runs on 3 hits and 4 walks in 4.1 innings. Angel Castro allowed 4 hits and a run in 2.2 innings of relief work.

Lakeland – DNP

Dayton 6 West Michigan 0
Joe Tucker had a double. Joe Bowen singled and walked. Alfredo Figaro allowed 4 runs on 9 hits, no walks, and 4 K’s in 7 innnings.

Game 51: Tigers at Angels

PREGAME: First of all Memorial Day wishes go out to everyone. And for those of you who are veterans or are currently serving…Thank You for all you do.

The Tigers head west for 9 games starting off with the Angels. Maybe the schedule makers did the Tigers a small favor. The Angels were in Chicago for Sunday Night Baseball last night so they probably got in about 5 hours after the Tigers did last night.

As for the game itself, it will be Kenny Rogers against Jon Garland.

Garland has been pitching to contact as evidenced by the 14 strikeouts he’s amassed in 64.1 innings. But he’s been on a roll his last 4 starts with a 2.25 ERA in 28 innings of work with opponents only mustering a .543 OPS against.

Rogers has been the weak link the last 2 times through the rotation only making it through 9.1 innings in his last 2 starts combined while allowing 19 hits, 3 for home runs. He hasn’t faced the Angels since September 2006 when he pitched 7 innings of 4-hit, shut out ball.

DET @ LAA, Monday, May 26, 2008 Game Preview – Baseball-Reference.com

Game Time 9:05

POSTGAME
: Why does this team hate us fans so?

  • Garland who doesn’t strike out anyone fanned 5.
  • Kenny Rogers was awesome going 7 strong innings. Now all the Tigers starters have ERAs under 6!
  • Freddy Dolsi showed me something tonight. He fanned Vlad Guerrero which is impressive in its own right. But when everyone failed to call time and Torri Hunter alertly took 2nd base, and during the subsequent intentional walk Dolsi threw a ball away, he didn’t get rattled. His next 2 pitches were strikes, the 2nd resulting in a bouncer to first base.
  • Carlos Guillen with 2 more errors, and some excellent at-bats.
  • Gary Sheffield is out with an oblique/back thingy.
  • Ryan Raburn fanned twice and popped out in his place.
  • A 4 pitch walk is no way to end this game. Especially to someone who doesn’t really walk. Only one of the pitches was close, and to be fair the Tigers took a ton of close pitches that went as balls. I have no problem with the calls in that at-bat. You have to put it near the plate.
  • The Tigers have 11 bases loaded walks now this year. They had 9 all of last year.

Game 50: Twins at Tigers

PREGAME: The Tigers look to close out their 6 game homestand on a positive note. They’ll send out Justin Verlander who has pitched better as of late with 3 runs, 10 K’s, and 4 walks in 12 innings spanning his last 2 starts. True, those starts were against the Royals and Mariners, but still, it’s progress.

Glen Perkins will make his 4 start of the season. He’s 3 for 3 in quality starts with 12 K’s and 2 BB’s in 18.1 innings.

The Tigers haven’t won on a Sunday this season and have been outscored 46-13.

MIN @ DET, Sunday, May 25, 2008 Game Preview – Baseball-Reference.com

POSTGAME
: Just got back from the game. It was a lovely afternoon at the park, save for the game on the field. Actually, I think I’m getting desensitized to the losing, or maybe I’m relieved in some weird way when it’s the bullpen that falls apart instead of the rest of the team.

For the bulk of the day it was a pretty even pitcher’s duel. Verlander didn’t appear to be particularly sharp, but was effective nonetheless. I wasn’t watching the radar gun at the stadium, but judging by the comments it sounds like he had his old velocity back.

On the offensive side, the Tigers were making quick outs, but credit some of that to Perkins who was throwing strikes. Perkins through 69 of his 104 pitches for strikes. There’s a certain point where being down 0-1 automatically isn’t such a good strategy either. And the Tigers for their part had a number of hard hit balls. Guillen hit the ball well all 4 times. Ordonez had a couple line drives, one went for a double, the other an out. Raburn was robbed on a play by Cuddyer. Yes they scored only 1 run, but I never got the impression they were just rolling over. This was a tie game through 7 innings after all.

But then there was the Cruceta inning. I’m not a fan of the intentional walk in that situation, and even less a fan of the follow-up unintentional walk. But what was more idiotic is not having anybody warming up in the pen throughout the inning. It was the same situation in the 7th when Verlander loaded the bases and nobody was up.

Why wouldn’t you have a lefty available to face Mauer/Morneau in that situation? I know that both can hit lefties, Mauer especially, but I’ve got to go with platoon splits when you are cobbling together the back end of the bullpen. I still think that Cruceta can be effective, but we’re not at that point yet. Unless Seay and Willis were unavailable thanks to McClendon leaving both in too long on Friday night.

Tigers Minor League Wrap 5-24-08

Louisville 1 Toledo 2
Mike Hessman tripled(for the 3rd time this season?) and walked. Casey Fossum fanned 11 (really?) while pitching 2 hit balls for 7 innings. Denny Bautista on his rehab assignment struck out 1 in 1 inning of work.

Erie 5 Akron 1
Dusty Ryan hit his 7th homer. Deik Scram had 3 hits and a walk. Danny Christensen allowed 1 run in 7 innings on 6 hits, 4 walks, and 2 strike outs.

Lakeland 0 Jupiter 1- suspended in the 2nd

Dayton 0 West Michigan 2
Joe Tucker tripled. Joe Bowen walked twice and singled. Jon Kibler had another excellent start with 6 K’s and 1 hit in 6 shut out innings.

Game 49: Twins at Tigers

PREGAME: It’s sports heaven in Detroit today with the Pistons in the Conference Finals and the Wings in the Stanley Cup finals, and the Tigers trying to not be eliminated from future finals consideration.

It will be Boof Bonser and Nate Robertson tonight.

The Tigers scored 6 off of Bonser in their last game against him. Yet the Tigers are scoreless against him in the last 5 innings.

Nate is Nate and will somehow give up 4 runs in 5 to 7 innings of work. At least the offense knows exactly how many they need to score.

MIN @ DET, Saturday, May 24, 2008 Game Preview – Baseball-Reference.com

POSTGAME: The Tigers did their part on sports day in Detroit. They plated 19 runs for the second time this season (the highest total by teams not from Detroit is 16 this year). We’ll get to the game in a second, but things are starting to look a little more normal. The Tigers are down to only 1 starter with an ERA above 6 and Gary Sheffield finally moved ahead of Ramon Santiago in RBI (who had Memorial Day weekend in the pool?).

Nate got himself a quality start. I was pretty sure that one of the inherited runners he left for Aquilino Lopez in the 7th would score, but Lopez finished the game with 2.2 scoreless innings.

And then there was the offense. Magglio Ordonez was the clear headliner with 2 RBI in each of his first 3 at-bats. Polanco had 4 hits. Sheffield had a couple hits. Heck, everyone had fun.

About that 1-25 record…

It is quoted after nearly every game, with only the loss column frequently changing. Currently it is 1-25, with IT being the Tigers record in games in which they score 4 runs or less. Some people point to it as a sign of the pitching staff’s futility while others question why the offense is scoring so little so often. Like many of the Tigers struggles this year, it can’t be attributed to just one area.

We’ll start by looking at some broader data. Below is data for the American League showing runs scored per game and the corresponding winning percentage so far in 2008.

AL Run Distribution

Not surprisingly it’s hard to win your scoring fewer than 2 runs a game, and the odds increase dramatically with the 2nd and the 4th runs. Now let’s look at what the Tigers have done.

What you’re seeing is how frequently the Tigers scored a certain amount of runs, how frequently it was done in the AL, how many games the Tigers won at each run point, and how many they would be expected to win given AL norms.

The thing with the 1-25 record is that the Tigers have scored fewer than 2 runs 12 times giving them 12 games with virtually no shot to win regardless of the pitching. And in those 4 run games where the team should have nearly a 50-50 shot of pulling out a W, the Tigers have only had 3 such games.

So with some normal pitching, the Tigers should have expected to win at most 3-4 more games. Chalk those up to the staff, but the bulk of the others fall squarely on the shoulders of the offense.

Draft talk

With the draft coming up next month, speculation about who the Tigers might be able to grab is picking up. With the 21st pick a lot will be out of the team’s control and given the volatility of a draft where signability is as big of a concern as playing ability, it can often be a fruitless effort.

Take 75 North has been scouring mock drafts to see who might be available and has written a few snapshots of some possible targets.

Lynn Henning does some research of his own and doesn’t see the Tigers blowing apart the slotting system like they did the last 3 years with Maybin-Miller-Porcello. But that might have less to do with the type of players involved rather than a change in philosophy. Henning notes catcher Jason Castro and reliever Andrew Cashner as potential options.

Baseball America’s first mock draft has Castro going to the Cubs 2 picks before the Tigers selection. And they have Cashner going 1 spot after the Tigers select prep righty Tim Melville. But they note that the Tigers might extend for high school first baseman Eric Hosmer if Scott Boras driven demands make him available that late.

Regardless, in an earlier interview with JP Morosi scouting director David Chadd indicated that the Tigers would just go with the best player available.

“My approach is we’re taking the best guy on the board,” Chadd said.
“We’re going to line it up how we see it, evaluate it and get the best
players up there accordingly. Those other issues, we’ll have to sit
down with Dave and discuss later.”

Tigers Minor League Wrap 5-23-08

Louisville 0 Toledo 6
Mike Hessman ended his sabbatical with a 3 for 4 night including homer number 19. Brent Clevlen had 2 hits including ahomer and Timo Perez homered as well. Virgil Vasquez scattered 8 hits over 7 innings and Francis Beltran pitched 2 no hit innings to complete the shut out.

Erie 0 Akron4
Erie was held to 3 hits making Danny Worth who doubled and walked the offensive star. Wilkin Ramirez singled and walked, as did Jeff Frazier. Jon Connolly allowed 4 runs in 7.2 innings on 8 hits, a walk, and 4 K’s.

Lakeland 3 Jupiter 2
Brennan Boesch went 2 for 4. Duane Below fanned 7 in 5 innings of work limited Jupiter to 1 run.

Dayton 2 West Michigan 3
Casper Wells was 2 for 4 with a double. Chris Carlson homered and walked. Roger Tomas was 3 for 3 with a walk. Lauren Gagnier allowed 2 unearned runs in 6.1 innings while walking 3 and fanning 7.