The 5th Inning – 2009 Edition

Long time readers of this site remember a feature called the Inning Report. Reader Sam Hoff would break down the season into 18 game segments or “innings.” Why 18 game? Because there are 9 18 game segments in a season. When the Tigers completed the Oakland series that also completed the second inning. Sam is still putting these together, but he’s posting them on his site this season. So click through to read The Fifth Inning is over with games through last Friday.

The Tigers turned in their first losing inning posting a 7-11 record, and not surprisingly their second lowest scoring inning with only 70 runs. Sadly it wasted a lot of good pitching performances from the starters, and with the All Star break and off days allowing for rotation juggling, Verlander and Jackson started 9 of the 18 games.

Polanco was the RBI leader despite posting only a 699 OPS. Brandon Inge’s line looks frighteningly similar to his career numbers and Curtis Granderson failed to hit for either average or power. Thank goodness for Marcus Thames though.

Not related to the inning report at all, but did anyone notice the Twins blew a 12-2 lead to the A’s and that the Yankees won 2-1 yet again? Maybe it will make you feel a little better. Or maybe it won’t since the White Sox moved to within a game of the division lead.

Tigers Minor League Wrap 7/20/09

Syracuse 2 Toledo 4
Jeff Frazier homered, singled, and drew 2 walks. Brent Dlugach went 2 for 4. Wilkin Ramirez drew 3 walks. Ruddy Lugo fanned 7 while allowing 2 runs on 5 hits and 3 wlaks in 6.2 innings.

Akron 2 Erie 6
Deik Scram homered and walked. Brennan boesch also homered. Luis Marte pitched 3.2 innings allowing no runs and 2 hits. Brendan Wise pitched the next 3 and gave up 5 runs and 2 hits. Cody Satterwhite fanned 3 in the final 2.1 innings and allowed just 1 baserunner to reach.

Charlotte 7 Lakeland 2
Joe Tucker and Jordan Newton each had 2 hits. Josh Workman went 3 for 3. Jeramy Laster homered. Matt Hoffman allowed 5 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks with 2 K’s in 4.1 innings.

Kane County 0 West Michigan 1 (10 inn)
The Whitecaps took a no hitter into the 7th inning with Casey Crosby fanning 8 in his 5 inning start. Anthony Shawler allowed the lone hit, but pitched 4 shut out innings fanning 3. Brent Wyatt and Avasail Garcia each had 2 hits. Ben Guez, the MWL player of the week drove in the winning run.

Batavia 2 Oneonta 3
John Murrian went 2 for 5. Jamie Johnson tripled. Alexis Espinoza started but didn’t bat which I hope doesn’t mean a serious injury. Luis Angel Sanz struck out 7 in 6 innings allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits and a walk. Michale Torrealba fanned 5 and walked 3 in 3 innings.

GCL Tigers PPD

Minors notes

The Tigers made some organizational moves bumping Zach Simons to Toledo and Jared Gayhart to Erie. Gayhart has moved all the way up from West Michigan this season. Simons is now just one rung away from the big leagues and is already on the 40 man roster meaning there’s a good chance he could see action out of the Tigers bullpen.

Also, in preparation for trade season Lee has put together a midseason prospect ranking which I pretty much agree with. There is always a lot of subjectivity in these things, but I think Lee’s list is a good one.

Lost weekend and other ramblings

9-5. That was the series score. Tigers pitchers kept a very good offensive team to just 9 runs and yet were swept because Detroit went 1-26 with runners in scoring position. The numbers are pretty much mind boggling. And 3 of the Tigers 5 runs came on solo homers. The White Sox took 2 out of 3 games in their weekend series meaning that the Tigers lead is down to a slim 1.5 games. It was a crappy weekend for Detroit baseball. They got swept, they didn’t score, and they lost a relief pitcher for who knows how long. But I’ll find some good news in here somewhere.

Pitching is still good

The Tigers continue to get good pitching. Justin Verlander and Edwin Jackson came out strong and pitched the way they had for the bulk of the first half of the season. Sustained success for both is key to the Tigers playoff chances and with Verlander’s history of second half struggles, and Jackson’s history of never having been this good before, those are both question marks where the early returns are promising.

Also, outside of Joel Zumaya’s blow-up, the bullpen was just as good as the starters. Fu-Te Ni is probably benefiting somewhat from being the new funky-delivery lefty, but his results have been as impressive with the big club as they were with Toledo. I guess the other good news is that the bullpen is nice and rested.

Unsustainable pace

Fortunately for the offense, they won’t continue to be that bad. Going 1 for 26 in any situational split, or any situation period, isn’t a sustainable pace. They’ll at the very least accidentally get a hit at some point in time. But here is the other side of the coin. The Tigers did a good job early in each of the 3 games of making the opposing starter work hard. They were taking pitches, drawing walks, and putting pressure on the starter and thus creating all those scoring opportunities in the first place. That’s the good news. The bad news is that the lineup got destroyed later in the game and the outs came quicker and easier. The Tigers hitters need to carry the types of approaches they were taking early in the game and sustain them throughout and continue to generate the scoring chances.

The Tigers need more offense, and I’d love to see them add a bat, but it goes way beyond that. Even if they trade for a stud, left handed hitting corner outfielder (which is unlikely), he is only going to hit once each time through the lineup. The Tigers have legitimate offensive threats already in the lineup that aren’t producing. One bat isn’t going to have a big impact as long as Granderson/Polanco/Cabrera continue to struggle.

What is Josh Anderson doing in the starting lineup?

One thing the Tigers could do to improve the offense is to remove Josh Anderson from the equation. Anderson had seemingly played himself out of a starting role before the All Star break with Ryan Raburn getting the bulk of the playing time in left field. From June 29th through the break Raburn had 9 starts, Anderson 5 (and one of those was in centerfield to spell Granderson). Raburn hit 323/364/581 over that span and Anderson hit 200/238/350 with no stolen bases. Yet the team gets to New York and Anderson starts 2 of the 3 games.

Raburn is OPS’ing over 800 against both lefties and righties and he has a pretty even mix of plate appearances this year. Anderson is OPS’ing under 650 against both lefties and righties while drawing 88% of his plate appearances against his favorable platoon side. While he is fast, he isn’t a good baserunner. The glaring mistakes are well known, but there are smaller ones as well. On Sunday he slid into second on a fly ball to centerfield. He was stealing and never saw the ball. Plus he had 2 defensive miscues this weekend. One cost the team runs, the other only cost Jackson 6 pitches. Outside of a late inning pinch runner he should have no role on this team, yet he continues to get starts.

Other Stuff

  • The extent of Joel Zumaya’s injury still isn’t fully known but it is a re-aggravation of his stress fracture. I’m sure the 3 inning outing in Minnesota didn’t help the situation, but I wouldn’t blame it either. That shoulder has experienced a ton of trauma. I think there are only so many times Zumaya can throw the ball 100mph before the next injury occurs.
  • The Tigers were 1 of 7 teams to have scouts on hand for Halladay’s outing yesterday. The White Sox weren’t. I don’t think the Tigers have the pieces, or at least pieces they’d be willing to part with, to get Halladay so I’d chalk up yesterday’s appearance to either due dilligence or gamesmanship.
  • What is the smarter financial move for Mike Ilitch, who is faced with decreased revenue due to lower ticket sales and decreased corporate sponsorship, dumping payroll or adding players to keep the Tigers in the hunt? Extended contention and a possible playoff birth will do more to help the franchise’s economic outlook than trying to save on salary. The Tigers need to get through 2010 and then there is considerable salary relief coming.
  • Brandon Lyon has added a cut fastball and he has tweaked his delivery.
  • Curtis Granderson is holding a wine-tasting charity event this Thursday that features a bachelor auction. For more information on purchasing tickets, or if you’d like to learn how you can take home your very own Granderson or Jackson head over the Grand Kids Foundation site.
  • FS Detroit has started to replay each Tiger game at midnight with the Tigers live postgame show to air at 3 a.m. So if you miss either the first time, you have a second chance to DVR it.
  • Also coming up on FS Detroit is Batting Stance Guy. He’ll be recreating Magglio Ordonez’s ALCS homer and Justin Verlander’s no hitter. For more on Gar Ryness, check out his appearance on Letterman. He’s already got a compilation of Tigers past and present.

Tigers Minor League Wrap 7/19/09

Toledo 5 Buffalo 3
Brent Dlugach was 3 for 4 with a double. Wilkin Ramirez doubled and walked. Jeff Larish homered and singled. Eddie Bonine fanned just 1, but walked nobody in 8 innings of 3 run ball.

Erie 5 Binghamton 1
Cale Iorg doubled, singled, and drew a walk. Brennan Boesch and Casper Wells each had 2 hits. Thad Weber went 8 innings with no walks, 3 K’s 5 hits, and 1 run.

Lakeland PPD

Kane County 7 West Michigan 4
Billy Nowlin went 3 for 3 with 2 doubles. Luke Putkonen was knocked out in the 4th inning after allowing 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks. Victor Larez allowed 2 runs in 4 innings of relief while fanning 5 and walking 1.

Oneonta 6 Mahoning Valley 8
Michael Rockett, Alexis Espinoza, Keith Hernandez, and Luis Palacios all had 2 hits. Gary Perinar walked 6 and and was charged with 3 runs in 2.2 innings without allowing a hit.

GCL Tigers DNP

Game 2009.090: Tigers at Yankees

PREGAME: I hate going into a game in sweep avoidance mode. It is so demoralizing. And the Tigers are facing Joba Chamberlain, who despite being overhyped due to his Yankee-ness, still shut down the Tigers earlier this year.

Chamberlain has been getting hit hard lately and didn’t make it out of the 6th inning in any of his last 3 starts. But the Tigers haven’t been hitting hard much lately so something’s gotta give.

Edwin Jackson, well rested after his 4 pitch inning during the All Star Break, is riding a streak of 5 straight quality starts. He’ll be looking to not throw a gagillion (sabermetric term) pitches to Robinson Cano who single handedly knocked Jackson out an inning before that fateful 10 run 7th inning disaster.

 Detroit vs. NY Yankees – July 19, 2009 | MLB.com: Gameday

Porcello’s 15 starts

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers.

Earlier in the week Jim Leyland made the announcement that Rick Porcello’s  next start would come July 21st and that he has 15 starts left. Porcello has been on inning and pitch restrictions as the Tigers try not to burn out one of the most promising young arms in the game. Through his first 16 starts he has amassed 87 innings. With 15 more starts and assuming the same type of restrictions on start length he would finish this season with 165-170 innings. But do those 15 starts include a potential postseason appearance?

I decided to look at how things shake out the rest of the way. Barring rain outs and keeping the rotation intact Porcello’s remaining starts could be:

Date Rest
21-Jul  
26-Jul 4
1-Aug 5
6-Aug 4
11-Aug 4
16-Aug 4
22-Aug 5
28-Aug 5
2-Sep 4
8-Sep 5
13-Sep 4
18-Sep 4
23-Sep 5
28-Sep 4
3-Oct 4

 

That’s 15 starts and it takes us right into the Tigers final series of the season against the White Sox. So if the Tigers do make the post season, does Rick Porcello have a role? Does he pitch out of the bullpen? Do they wait and see what happens? Or do they skip him at some point. In late August there are a couple of off days and the Tigers could push him back meaning he doesn’t pitch in the final series, saving a start for a potential post season appearance.

Tigers Minor League Wrap 7/19/09

Toledo 0 Buffalo 1
Don Kelly and Brent Dlugach had the only hits for Toledo. Chris Lambert allowed just 1 run on 4 hits and a walk with 3 K’s in 6 innings.

Toledo 0 Buffalo 2
Don Kelly and Max St. Pierre went 2 for 3. Scott Sizemore doubled. Scot Drucker allowed 2 runs on 4 hits with 2 K’s and no walks in 5 innings.

Erie 2 Binghamton 4
Brennan Boesch went 2 for 4. Santo De Leon homered. Jonah Nickerson went 7 innings and allowed 4 runs on 9 hits, 2 of which were homers.

Charlotte 12 Lakeland 11
Michael Bertram hit for the cycle. Carlos Guillen was 1 for 1 with 2 walks. Jordan Newton, Jeramy Laster, and Devin Thomas each had 2 hits. Charlier Furbush fanned 4 in 4.1 innings and allowed 3 runs on 6 hits and a walk. Scott Green allowed 4 runs, none of which were earned and recorded just 1 out. Jared Gayhart fanned 3 in 1.1 innings.

Kane County 1 West Michigan 7
Billy Nowlin, Joe Bowen, and Hernan Perez each had 2 hits. Mark Sorensen pitched 8 shut out innings allowing just 2 hits and a walk while fanning 6.

Oneonta 2 Mahoning Valley 3
Eric Roof homered. Rawley Bishop doubled. Andy Wilk allowed a run on a walk and 4 hits in 5 innings.

GCL Tigers 3 GCL Yankees 2
Gustavo Nunez and Francisco Martinez each had 2 hits. Jacob Cruz tripled. Zach Samuels fanned 5 in 6 innings allowing 2 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks.

Game 2009.089: Tigers at Yankees

PREGAME: The Tigers haven’t had so much fun playing the AL East this year. A split of a 4 game set with the Orioles has been the highlight. And they’ve only taken 1 of 4 against the Yankees. The one they did take though was started by Justin Verlander and C.C. Sabathia. Verlander shut down the Yankees at the end of April as he outdueled Sabathia (4 runs in 8 inning complete game). 

Sabathia’s strikeout numbers are down this year and are a rather pedestrian 6.7 per 9 innings. But he has a 1.153 WHIP because he isn’t walking many or allowing many hits either.

Detroit vs. NY Yankees – July 18, 2009 | MLB.com: Gameday

Tigers Minor League Wrap 7/17/09

Erie 7 Binghamton 8
Casper Wells homered and went 3 for 5. Alex Avila had 2 hits. Santo De Leon homered and walked. Pat Stanley was rocked for 8 runs on 5 walks and 7 hits in 3.1 innings. Robbie Weinhardt fanned 4 and allowed just 1 hit in 2.2 innings.

Dunedin 8 Lakeland 11
Carlos Guillen went 1 for 3 with a walk, but there are reports he’s sore. Joe Ducker doubled and tripled and Audy Ciriaco went 2 for 4 with a homer and a walk. Devin Thomas had 2 singles and 2 walks. Lauren Gagnier allwoed 4 runs on 2 homers in 5.2 innings. Ryan Ketchner allowed runs on 4 hits in .2 innings.

Peoria 0 West Michigan 9
Brayan Villarreal fanned 6, walked 1 and allowed 6 hits in 5 shut out innings. Mike Gosse went 4 for 4. Ben Guez had 3 hits. Avasail Garcia doubled and singled.

Oneonta 8 Mahoning Valley 10
Shawn Roof and Carmelo Jaime each had 3 hits. Michael Rockett went 2 for 3 with a walk. Jeff Gerbe didn’t make it out of the first inning before allowing 3 runs.

GCL Braves 7 GCL Tigers 4
Edwin Gomez doubled and walked. Jose Siso allowed 2 runs on 4 hits, a walk, and a strikeout in 5 innings.

Zumaya injured, planet continues to rotate

UPDATE 9:24 Zumaya has been placed on the DL with right shoulder soreness. Ryan Perry has been recalled.

Tigers-Yankees
Mark Teixeira destroys a Joel Zumaya fastball to give the Yankees a 5-3 lead

Joel Zumaya is jetting back to Detroit today to get an MRI on his throbbing shoulder. Really, this was probably just a matter of time given Zumaya’s injury history and the chances of an injury-free season from the fireballer are pretty much non existent.

Zumaya said the pain is so intense he can’t lift his arm over his head. Hopefully the injury isn’t too serious, but some time away from late inning leads might not be the worst thing in the world either.

Zumaya has been mostly brutal lately. He’s had some moments to be sure, but they are in between late inning meltdowns. His latest came against the Yankees when tasked with a 3 run lead it went single-double-homer and didn’t get better. Lee has a diary of Zumaya’s recent implosions.

It’s hard to say whether the arm pain has played into any of those or not. Zumaya is still throwing the ball hard and the fact he has all his velocity after his litany of injuries is amazing in and of itself. But if he isn’t walking guys, he’s getting hit way too hard for someone who can throw that fast.

The fact that Zumaya was being used in the 7th inning last night instead of the 8th inning may have been an indication of Leyland’s wavering confidence. It appears that Brandon Lyon/Bobby Seay were set for the primary set-up duties, and this was before the blow-up.

Game 2009.088: Tigers at Yankees

PREGAME: Jim Leyland has complained that the Tigers never get the extra day off at the All Star break. This year they got it. I hope it was good for the players because for the fans it stunk. Too long without baseball for my tastes. The “second half” finally begins tonight as the Tigers get their first taste of the homer-happy new Yankee Stadium.

Luke French gets the honor of kicking off this portion of the season. It’s an interesting choice with a full rotation at his disposal, but my guess is that Leyland wanted French out there on a night when the pen was rested, and the fact the Yankees haven’t seen him may have been a consideration as well.

French will be taking on AJ Burnett. The Tigers have had some success against Burnett, or at least they haven’t been completely shut down by him in the past. Burnett’s one weakness this year has been a tendency to walk too many and he’s walking about a batter every other inning. Burnett has a reverse platoon split this year with a 787 OPS allowed against righties and only 690 against lefties.

Random Factoid of the night: Hitters have a 932 OPS against Burnett when putting the first ball in play.

Detroit vs. NY Yankees – July 17, 2009 | MLB.com: Gameday

POSTGAME: And Zumaya blows another one. One horrid inning destroys what otherwise was a mostly impressive game from the rest of the squad.

Luke French wasn’t great, but he hung in against a tough lineup and tossed 5 solid innings, and he even did it with some shaky defense behind him. Clete Thomas was charged with a tough error on a nice one hop throw to Gerald Laird that Laird couldn’t handle, so Thomas is off the hook. But Josh Anderson’s 5 hole error, the second one he’s had against the Yankees this year) resulted in an unearned run.

The top of the order was quite productive with the top 4 all getting 2 hits and Clete Thomas getting 2 walks. However a rough game for Inge (0 for 4 with 2 K’s) meant that not enough of them came around to score. In Inge’s defense though, he did hit a liner to Robinson Cano at 2nd with 2 on in the first. An out, but not because it was a bad at-bat.

Granderson looked like the Grandy of old reaching base 3 times with 2 extra base hits.

links for 2009-07-16