Midseason Musings

The Tigers are officially halfway through the season. they’ve managed to lead the division for the majority of the first half. They’ve seen some good pitching, some awful pitching and some much improved defense (which is helping the pitching). They’ve seen the offense roll, and then cough and sputter against pitchers that shouldn’t induce coughing and sputtering. Through it all they have a 2 game lead in the division (and 2 games in hand). Far from a commanding lead, but they also have a schedule that could prove favorable in the second half as well. Some various thoughts on what the team has done so far:

  • Playing the ‘”on pace for” game the Tigers have 3 hitters with a decent shot at 30 homers.  The Tigers have only had 2 30 homer seasons this decade and the last time 3 Tigers hit 30 in a season was 1992.
  • The Tigers have 47 of their final 81 games at home and only 1 more trip to the West Coast. They do still have to go to Fenway and Yankee Stadium and they’ve yet to play Tampa Bay yet. They do have 1 9 game roadie left going to Minnesota, Chicago, and Cleveland in late September.
  • The Tigers are on pace to improve on their walks but only slightly. The 2008 total was 644 and the 2009 projection is 612.  But intentional walks are way down (on pace for 40, 63 issued last year) as are HBP (on pace for 30, 68 last year) and wild pitches (on pace for 46, 65 last year).
  • One of the speculated reasons for the walks last year was that pitchers knew how bad the defense was and they nibbled. That can’t be an excuse this year with the Tigers having one of the best defensive teams in baseball. They are above average at every infield position and are typically in the top 5 at the position. Last year Detroit was 39 runs below average for the season, so far this year they are 26.7 wins above average.

[blank] of the Year

  • Catch of the Year: Curtis Granderson robbing Grady Sizemore of a walk-off homer and preserving a complete game shut out for Justin Verlander.
  • Surprise of the Year: I have this as a 5 way tie between Edwin Jackson’s dominance, Brandon Inge’s offensive season, Fernando Rodney being 17 of 17 on save chances, Magglio Ordonez being so awful, and Don Kelly starting a game as a clean-up hitter. Ramon Santiago’s power surge gets honorable mention.
  • Start of the Year: There are some good candidates, but I’m going to go with Edwin Jackson’s complete game effort against the Angels. Verlander has a couple of games that were better pitched, but Jackson’s came at a time when the team was scuffling a little (4 game losing streak) and he tossed a complete game fanning the heart of the Angels order to preserve a 2-1 win.
  • Comeback of the Year: When the Tigers covered up an awful Armando Galarraga start by coming back from an early 6 run deficit.
  • Worst  Walk of the Year: Joel Zumaya walking in the tying run in Houston. Just brutal.
  • Best Walk of the Year: The intentional walks to Mauer and Morneau setting up the bases loaded K of Michael Cuddyer on Friday night.
  • Best time to ignore typical platoon rules: Pinch hitting right hander Ryan Raburn for left hander Josh Anderson against right hander Ryan Dempster Kevin Gregg setting up the Best walk-off pinch hit homer of the year.
  • Best comeback story: Dontrelle Willis’ 7 innings of shut out ball against a hot hitting Rangers team.
  • Worst comeback story: Pretty much every start Willis made after that.
  • Team MVP of the year: At the risk of being labeled and Inge Fan-Boy or Inge-lover, I’m going with Inge. His offensive and defensive contributions have brought more value to the team than any other player. The Tigers were prepared to sacrifice offense for defense at many positions including third base. They didn’t plan on sacrificing it in left field and right field and DH and second base (due to Polanco’s early season struggles). And it’s not just the overall contributions, or the contributions in context of expectations and the rest of the lineup. Inge’s hits have been dramatic. The homer in Houston to grab a victory, the homer in Toronto to tie the score after Brandon Lyon surrendered the lead late. Other 2 run homers that proved to be the difference in the game (against the Brewers and against the Rockies). Inge has been a legitimate force and the Tigers would be in a world of hurt without his contributions this season.

Tiger Striped All Stars

The Tigers are sending 3 representatives to the All Star game, and maybe one more. Justin Verlander, Edwin Jackson, and Curtis Granderson were all named to the AL All Star Game. Brandon Inge still has a chance ( a slim one) to get on the team if the fans vote him in.

Verlander and his MLB leading strikeout total was pretty much a lock for the squad and was likely voted in by the players. Jackson has had an exceptional first half, but a startling lack of run support has held him to 6 wins despite a sterling ERA. Still, the players thought enough of him to include him on the squad.

Granderson was a bit of a surprise. He’s had better seasons, but Lee points out that he is on pace for a 30-30 season and an argument could be made that he is the second best centerfielder in the AL. Granderson was also a player selection.

That brings us to Brandon Inge. I’ve stumped for Inge already and Jim Leyland opined that Inge should be backing up Evan Longoria. Instead that duty went to Michael Young who is on par with Inge offensively, but atrocious defensively. Defense doesn’t typically get you into the ASG though. But Inge does have a chance if he can beat out:

  • Chone Figgins (which he should)
  • Ian Kinsler (who has a beef that he should be starting at 2nd)
  • Carlos Pena (AL homer leader)
  • Adam Lind

So let’s see if we can get 4 Tigers to the All Star Game and Vote Inge. What works against him though is that he was the 2nd best third baseman, but it’s not as cut and dry that he’s the best of these 5.

Tigers Minor League Wrap 7/5/09

Columbus 8 Toledo 1
Wilkin Ramirez went 3 for 3 with a homer and a walk. Clete Thomas doubled and singled. Chris Lambert allowed 1 runs on 7 hits in 6 innings with 1 walk and 2 K’s. Josh Rainwater was knocked around for 3 runs on 3 hits and 2 walks in 1.2 innings.

Erie 3 Binghamton 1
Danny Worth, Alex Avila, Ryan Strieby, Brennan Boesch, and Santo De Leon all had 2 hits. Pat Stanley fanned 8 in 7 innnings allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 7 innings.

Lakeland 6 Clearwater 10
Justin Henry and Deivn thomas each had 2 hits, including a homer for Thomas. Mike Bertram, Chris Carlson, and Audy Ciriaco all homered. Trevor Feeney pitched the first 2 innings and allowed 2 runs on 4 hits, no walks, and 3 K’s. Chad Linder got hammered for 7 hits and 6 runs in 1 inning.

dayton 11 West Michigan 20
Bryan Pounds went 3 for 5 with a triple, a walk, and 6 RBI. Ben Guez doubled 3 times and drove in 5. Mike Gosse had 3 singles and drove in 4. Brandon Hamilton allowed 5 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks in 2 innings.

Aberdeen 4 Oneonta 6
Michael Rockett picked up 3 hits and is hitting 404/429/532 in his first 47 at-bats. Luis Palacios doubled, singled, and walked. Clemente Mendoza allowed just 1 hit and 1 run in 6 innings with no walks and 4 K’s.

GCL Tigers DNP

Game 2009.081: Tigers at Twins

PREGAME: Rick Porcello gets the ball for the Tigers. Porcello has struggled in his last 3 starts allowing 32 baserunners in 15.2 innings and not making it out of the 5th inning in any of those starts. The last time (and only time) he face the Twins this year he threw 7 shutout innings.

Nick Blackburn goes for the Twins. Blackburn is a master of efficiency going 7 innings or more in 10 of his 16 starts this year and only topping the 100  pitch mark in 6 of his 16 starts. But when the Tigers faced him in May, they chased him in the 4th inning, one of only 2 times he didn’t make it to through the 6th inning this year. 

Detroit vs. Minnesota – July 5, 2009 | MLB.com: Gameday

Tigers Minor Leauge Wrap 7/4/09

Columbus 3 Toledo 7
Jeff Larish 2 for 4, 2B, HR. Jeff Fraizer 3 for 4, 2B. Wilkin Ramirez 2 for 3, 2B, BB. Eddie Bonine 7 IP, 10 H, 3 R, 0 BB, 3 K, 2 HR.

Erie 0 Binghamton 4
Ryan Strieby 2 for 4. Shawn Roof 3 for 4. Luis Marte 6.2 IP, 4 R, 3 BB, 5 K, 1 HR.

Tampa 0 Lakeland 4
Justin Henry 2 for 4, 2B. Mauricio Robles 6.2 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 5 K.

Dayton 1 West Michigan 5
Jordan Lennerton 2 for 3, HR. Casey Crosby 5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 2 K, 1 HR.

Aberdeen 2 Oneonta 7
Michael Rockett 2 for 4. Rawley Bishop 2 for 4, 2 HR, 5 RBI. Alexis Espinoza 2 for 4 3B. Nate Newman 5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 3 K.

GCL Braves 0 GCL Tigers 2
Hernan Perez 2 for 4, 2 2B. Jose Diaz 6 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K.

Game 2009.080: Tigers at Twins

PREGAME: Nothing like an afternoon game after a 16 inning bout, but the Tigers play at 4p on the 4th on Fox Saturday Baseball. Happy 4th of July to everyone as Edwin Jackson matches up with Francisco Liriano. Both managers will look to these gentleman to provide some innings with both bullpen’s taxed. The Tigers at least have everyone except Joel Zumaya and Freddy Dolsi available, not sure about the Twins situation.

Liriano still hasn’t put things together since his Tommy John surgery. He’s fanning 8 per 9 innings, but he has 42 walks and 12 homers in 89.2 innings. He faced the Tigers earlier in the year though and went 7.1 innings in his best start (Game Score 68) of the season.

Jackson had fought his control a little bit in June before turning in a 7 inning, no walk performance against Houston. Jackson has only gone past 100 pitches once in his last 4 starts so Jim might lean on him a bit today.

Detroit vs. Minnesota – July 4, 2009 | MLB.com: Gameday

POSTGAME: The first 2 games of this series have lived up to the hype. But the Tigers only came out on top once. Sadly I don’t know what was the bigger surprise yesterday, the offensive outburst of Magglio Ordonez or the offensive outburst of Nick Punto.

The Ordonez homer was particularly impressive, because unlike his homer against the Cubs on a hanger, he drilled a fastball over 400 feet to the pull field. Dumb luck or a reason to be encouraged? Don’t get me wrong, I’m thrilled for Maggs and hope it is a sign of things to come, but a little bit of skepticisim is warranted as well.

Edwin Jackson was bit by walks again, and too often he’d get ahead 0-2 and then nibble his way to a 6 pitch at-bat. Either he wasn’t as aggressive as he usually is, or he just flat out didn’t have the command.

Brandon Inge and Curtis Granderson both fanned 3 times today. Blech.

Tigers Minor League Wrap 7/3/09

Columbus 2 Toledo 8
Wilkin Ramirez and Brent Clevlen each tripled and singled. Jeff Frazier homered. Scott Sizemore, Mike Hessman, and Max St. Pierre all had 2 hits. Brooks Brown pitched around 4 walks and allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings with 3 K’s. Ryan Perry pitched 2 innings and fanned 3 with no walks.

Trenton 10 Erie 1
Brennan Boesch homered and singled. Thad Weber allowed 5 runs on 11 hits in 5 innings. Robbie Weinhardt allowed his first AA run on two hits and a walk with 2 K’s in an inning.

Lakeland 0 Tampa 1
Justin Henry and Devin Thomas doubled. Jordan Newton tripled. Andrew Hess allowed a run on a solo homer, but that was it for 6 innings.

West Michigan 10 South Bend 0
Billy Nowlin went 3 for 5. Ben Guez doubled and singled. Luke Putkonen went the distance allowing just 1 walks and 5 hits against 5 K’s.

Oneonta 1 Aberdeen 10
Alexis Espinoza doubled as a pinch hitter. Luis Angel Sanz fanned 6, but walked 5 in 4 innings. And pretty much everyone else struggled.

GCL Phillies 4 GCL Tigers 3
Elvin Soto doubled and walked. Pat McKenna singled and walked 3 times. Rayni Guichardo didn’t allow a run in 5.2 innings with 2 hits, 4 walks, and 3 K’s.

Game 2009.079: Tigers at Twins

PREGAME: Here we go, another series in the Metrodome. I don’t know if it is the dome itself or the way that the Tigers play there, but this games are rarely enjoyable. This time first place is at risk with the Twins just 3 games back (and the White Sox 2 back).

Lee has a detailed comparison of the two squads doing better tonight, and things are pretty but the Tigers are benefitting from some good fortune in close games. I have a feeling that good fortune doesn’t really apply to the Tigers when facing Joe Frickin Crede though.

Tonight’s match-up features Luke French making his first career start. Never a dominating force, French got by with location and moxie until he started fanning batters to the tune of 7.9 per game resulting in a 3.60 K/BB ratio for Toledo.

Ten game winner Kevin Slowey gets the ball for the Twins. He walks like no one, with only 15 free passes in his 87 innings of work. But he will give up the occasional homer with 14 on the year, but those even seem to come in bunches.

Random Factoid of the night: Slowey has only induced 6 double play grounders this year. And 2 of them came in his start against Detroit.

Your Magglio-less lineup is:

  1. Granderson, CF
  2. Polanco, 2B
  3. Cabrera, 1B
  4. Thames, DH
  5. Kelly, LF
  6. Inge, 3B
  7. Anderson, RF
  8. Laird, C
  9. Santiago, SS

Detroit vs. Minnesota – July 3, 2009 | MLB.com: Gameday

POSTGAME: Well, that certainly was a memorable game. I’m sleepy so only bullet points tonight:

  • The Tigers did get some offense, lots of it early in fact. But then there was the 9 innings of shutout ball between the 5th and the 14th.
  • French was okay and he held Justin Morneau in check. I am surprised that Leyland didn’t let him go the one additional out for the win with the big cushion. It is a little indicative that the team has been struggling because that is when he tends to over manage.
  • Two walks to Nick Punto. Really? The good news is that the Tigers only had 1 other unintentional walk.
  • But two intentional ones, and this I thought was a great move by Leyland. Zumaya had control tonight, and the risk of walking in a run is always present, but passing on Mauer and Morneau when their runs were meaningless was good strategy.
  • Despite the game going 16 innings only Freddy Dolsi and Joel Zumaya should be unavailable for the next 2 days. Rodney (6 up, 6 down) and Lyon were efficient in their multi-inning outings. Ni and Seay threw less than an inning and Miner was too ineffective to run up his pitch count.
  • The Tigers didn’t play great defense tonight. During Miner’s meltdown inning, I thought both triples should have been fielded. Neither play was easy, but both plays were makeable.
  • Eric Cooper was awful. I really think he’d ask the pitcher and catcher what number he was thinking of, whoever was closest got the call. One of the many egregious examples was a called 3rd strike against Polanco that Gameday tracked at 3 ft, 10 in off the ground. So at Polanco’s nipples essentially.
  • Magglio hit into kind of a tough luck double play, but then he finally had a ground ball not go at someone and through for an RBI single.

The Twins series is big, but far from critical

It was July 19th, 2007. Things were looking great for the Tigers. Detroit was playing their second series after the All Star break. Heading into that break the Tigers had won 5 in a row, 2 against the Indians and a sweep of the Red Sox. After the break they split a 4 game set in Seattle  and then pulled off an improbable sweep of the the Twins in the Metrodome. They won 3 straight 1 run games against Minnesota and found themselves 21 games above .500. Talk about momentum. The big series was followed up with a 4-12 stretch.

Today the Tigers are once again heading into Minnesota for a 3 game set. It is a big, exciting, mid summer series. But the season is too long and it is too early for this series to mean that much – even if it results in a sweep for either team.

If things go poorly they could find themselves a half game out of first place, a perch they’ve held since May 9th. It would be a disappointing result to be sure, but being within a half game of the division lead before the All Star Break isn’t that bad of a worst-case scenario.

We’ve seen the Tigers in past years surging early in the season only to later collapse. We’ve seen it this year where the team had “serious issues” only to reel off 7 wins in a row, and then 2 drop back to back series. Two weeks ago the White Sox were done and playing “must-win” games against the Tigers. Now they are in 2nd place. This is the type of rollercoastering that happens over the span of a couple weeks, let alone over the course of a season.

If the Tigers were on the brink of contention a week before the trade deadline (like  when they went to Seattle in 2005) maybe it takes on more importance. If it is September and there is limited time to make up ground it becomes huge. Yes, every game is important because you can look back at the end of the season when your team is a game short and say “see, if we’d just won one more game…” But there are are typically at least a dozen games that are given away during a season and a dozen more that are “stolen". These are just 3 of 162.

Games against division rivals always take on more importance, it’s your team’s only chance to directly put L’s in their standings. With both teams involved in the hunt for the division and it falling on a holiday weekend, the games should be exciting and it should provide for a great “playoff like” atmosphere. But it ain’t the playoffs because both the winner and loser still have 90 more games to go.

Tigers Minor League Wrap 7/2/09

Toledo 3 Columbus 16
Clete Thomas and Brent Clevlen each had 2 hits. Ruddy Lugo didn’t make it out of the first inning before allowing 8 runs. This wasn’t good and it saw Jeff Frazier pitch the last 2 innings, and not well.

Trenton6 Erie 9
Ryan Strievy is back int he lineup and he homered and singled. Andy Dirks doubled twice. Ronnie Bourquin, Alex Avila, and Brennan Boesch all had 2 hits apiece. Jonah Nickerson allowed 5 runs in 5 innings on 11 hits, 3 of which were homers. Cody Satterwhite fanned 2 and allowed 2 hits and a walk but no runs in 2.1 innings.

Fort Myers 3 Lakeland 1
Jordan Newton doubled twice. Audy Ciriaco went 2 for 2 with a walk and seems to love him some doubleheaders. Lauren Gagnier allowed 3 runs in 2.2 innings. Jared Gayhart has adapted well to the next level with 3.1 scoreless innings and just 1 hit allowed with against 2 K’s.

Fort Myers 4 Lakeland 1Justin Henry and Devin Thomas each had 2 hits. Trevor Feeney started and allowed 1 run on 3 hits in 4 innings. Brett Jacobson allowed 2 runs on 3 hits including a homer in 2 innings.

West Michigan 4 South Bend 5
Gustavo Nunez, Brent Wyatt, and Bill Nowlin all had 2 hits. Bryan Pounds walked 3 times and doubled. Mark Sorensen went 6 innings and allowed just 2 runs on 5 hits, 1 walk and 2 K’s.

Oneonta 8 Aberdeen 2
Rawley Bishop doubled twice, walked, and drove in 3. Keith Hernandez doubled twice and singled. Gary Perinar fanned 7 in 5 innings of 2 hit and 1 run ball. Jose Ortega struck out the side in his inning of work.

GCL Tigers 7 GCL Phillies 4
Luis Castillo and Elvin Soto each had 2 hits. Bruce Rondon struck out 6 in 4 innings. Giovanni Soto fanned 2 in a scoreless inning.

links for 2009-07-02