Justin Verlander set a good example for young Drew Smyly, and callously shut down the Oakland A’s offense.  That’s the way to deal when your own team can’t score runs.

Today’s surprise prediction:  Smyly has his first shaky outing, but the offense will more than make up for it.

A lot of things have gone wrong with the offense.  Miguel Cabrera went on a career worst slump, followed by an unprecedented, and ongoing, Fielder slump (0-22 and counting).  They can’t score a runner from third with less than 2 out, they can’t bunt a runner up (it used to be every .200 hitter could bunt and run…not so much anymore).  And then there is Ryan Raburn.

Raburn has been awful.  And if past history is any guide, there is no reason to expect much improvement any time soon.  For those who missed it, Raburn has been consistently awful in May (BA/OBP/SLG/OPS)

• 2010 .115 BA .115 OBP .154 SLG .269 OPS 0 BB 7 K
• 2011 .113 BA .141 OBP .129 SLG .270 OPS 1 BB 22 K
• 2012 .114 BA .179 OBP .200 SLB .379 OPS 2 BB 14 K

(2012 numbers through 5/13)

In other words, as bad as he has been, he is having a career best May.

Leyland says he is going to keep playing him, no matter what (OK…maybe. But batting him 6th? Seriously?): “I’ve got to get him going, and I’m going to give him the opportunity to get going.  That’s why he’s playing.”

As Jamie Samuelsen says: “Leyland needs Raburn to hit. And the only way that he knows how to get him to hit is to keep rolling him out there. Why he thinks that strategy applies to Raburn and didn’t apply to players like Brandon Inge, Ramon Santiago or Don Kelly is something only Leyland knows. But it’s not going to change, at least not soon.”

Furthermore, if it is an established pattern that Raburn hits only after the All-Star break (Raburn is a career .300 hitter in the 2nd half), why in the world would it seem like playing him more now is a good idea?

Jason Back says that “Raburn is like a stock at 52-wk low but with history of beating 2nd and 3rd-qtr estimates. Maddening to own, panic move to sell.”

So what to do? You tell me.

Today’s Player of the Pre-game:  Gerald Laird.  Laird is one of only 3 Tigers hitting .300, has shown surprising baserunning abilities, and may be one of the best minor moves of the offseason.

1. Austin Jackson CF
2. Andy Dirks LF
3. Miguel Cabrera 3B
4. Prince Fielder 1B
5. Delmon Young DH
6. Ryan Raburn 2B
7. Brennan Boesch RF
8. Jhonny Peralta SS
9. Gerald Laird C

Well this series has had a lopsided game that we won, a lopsided game that we lost, a pitcher’s duel that we lost, now it’s time for a pitcher’s duel that we win.  And we have just the guy for it, Justin Verlander. By the way, Justin says Happy Mother’s Day!

JV will have his work cut out for him, facing the dreaded Rookie Pitcher Guy who gives the Tigers so much trouble. This RPG is named Jarrod Parker, and he has been good, posting a 1.40 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in his young 4-start career.

***

Yes, the Tigers are struggling offensively right now. Prince Fielder is in a 0-17 slump and counting. Miguel Cabrera just ended an 0-13. The 5th and 6th hitters have ranked at the bottom of the league all season.  The Tigers can’t seem to find a second baseman who can bunt, much less hit .200.

But the credit for yesterday’s game has to be shared equally with Brandon McCarthy, who was brilliant.  McCarthy is a good pitcher; last night he was very, very good.  He had the Tigers guessing wrong all night.  He froze Cabrera, Fielder, and Young in succession with 2-strike curve balls when they were obviously looking for fastballs.

And Fister was almost as good, after a bit of a shaky first inning. After the 1st inning he gave up 2 singles and 1 walk and had 8 strikeouts. He even kept Babe Inge under control. That’s 2 great outings in a row for Fister, which bodes well for the remainder of the season.

The difference in the game was the A’s put together 3 singles in the first, and the Tigers got runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out in the 5th–and struck out.

***

Quote of the day:  “We don’t do stupid stuff.  At least we don’t try to.” -Jim Leyland

***

Statistic of the day: Andy Dirks has had 0-2 counts 4 times so far this season. He is 4-4.

***

Today’s Player of the Pre-game:  Austin Jackson.  Jackson has been a real spark this season.  A well-rested Jackson joins fellow spark Andy Dirks in providing some top of the lineup hitting.

Today’s Really Due Lineup:

1. Austin Jackson CF
2. Andy Dirks LF
3. Miguel Cabrera 3B
4. Prince Fielder 1B
5. Delmon Young DH
6. Alex Avila C
7. Brennan Boesch RF
8. Jhonny Peralta SS
9. Ryan Raburn 2B

The Tigers take the field this evening at absurdly-named O.co Coliseum at 16-16, 2 games back of Cleveland in the AL Central.

A lot went wrong last night. Rick Porcello once again sang the First Inning Blues, and was generally ineffective.  The Below-pen didn’t fare much better. The Tigers blew their own chance at a big first inning when Cabrera grounded into a DP with runners on 1st and 3rd and nobody out, and that set the offensive tone for the evening.

The Tigers even accidentally suited up the retired Dmitri Young for their DH, at least according to the official Tiger game notes.

But the big story of course, was Brandon Inge, who has been tormenting the Tigers as much or more as when he played for them.  Jason Beck collects some of the quotes about Inge’s new-found ability to hit a baseball (Inge now has 17 RBI in only 10 games with Oakland, which is more than Prince Fielder has for the season).

To add Inge salt to Ingery, Inge took the time to praise new hitting coach Chili Davis:  “he and I mix well.”

***

After the last two games, a pitcher’s duel might be just the thing.  Doug Fister was impressive in his first start back from the DL, going 7 innings without giving up a run or a walk.  He didn’t come away with a W, but at this point in the season seeing Fister returning to form is a far bigger deal.

Taking their cue from Seattle with Blake Beavan, Oakland will counter the towering presence of the 6’8″ Fister with their tallest pitcher, 6’7″ Brandon McCarthy.  McCarthy has followed up his big comeback season in 2011 (9-9, 3.32) with another good start (2-3, 2.96), although his turn in the rotation has been pushed back due to shoulder soreness.

The right-handed McCarthy isn’t much tougher on RHB than he is on LHB: last season lefties batted .256 against him, vs. .260 for righties.  Nonetheless, Leyland has loaded the lineup with every available lefty. The Santiago for Peralta move looks good on paper though:  Peralta is a career 1-for-21 against McCarthy.

Tonight’s Player of the Pre-game:  Andy Dirks.  Dirks has been nothing short of phenomenal, and has solved the problem of finding a 2-hitter who can take advantage of Jackson’s hot start this season.  He won’t continue to hit .381 (and that with a sore hamstring!), but let’s enjoy it while it lasts. If Cabrera and Fielder can get back to their usual selves while Jackson and Dirks are still hot, it should make for a good time.

Tonight’s Pin-The-Tail-On-The-Don-Kelly Lineup:

1. Don Kelly CF
2. Andy Dirks LF
3. Miguel Cabrera 3B
4. Prince Fielder 1B
5. Delmon Young DH
6. Alex Avila C
7. Brennan Boesch RF
8. Ramon Santiago SS
9. Danny Worth 2B

If any eyes are still open at 10:05 EST and would like to watch baseball, they will have to tune in to Oakland where the Tigers will be starting a 4-game series with the A’s in tonight’s only MLB late game.

The Athletic Brandon Inge awaits the Tigers in Oakland, although they may not recognize him.  For one thing, he is wearing his pants all the way down to his white shoes.  For another, he seems to have figured out how a baseball bat works…so far, Brandon Inge has more RBI (9) in the month of May than Miguel Cabrera, Prince Fielder, and Delmon Young combined. Inge responded to being slotted 5th in the lineup with a walkoff grand slam;  with the RHP Scherzer on the mound he moves to the 6th spot for tonight.

Speaking of which, for all the the hand-wringing about the weakness of the bottom of the order boys for Detroit, the glaring weakness of the lineup has been the 5-6 spots.

Here are the BA/OBP/SLG/OPS numbers for the Tiger 5-6 hitters compared to league averages:

• Tiger 5th (14th): .205 .274 .304 .578
• League Avg:      .260 .329 .458 .787

• Tiger 6th: (14th): .178 .267 .308 .575
• League Avg:       .257 .318 .421 .739

Either is bad enough alone; together they spell Rallykill.  Where have you gone, Victor Martinez?

And it doesn’t help that the weak 5th-hitter numbers are mostly from the DH spot (more on that tomorrow).

I was going to look at Scherzer’s last start, and the Reanimated Tiger-Cuddler Bartolo Colon (he last beat Detroit in 2003), but lately it doesn’t seem to matter how well the starters do–it’s all about scoring runs right now.

Yoenis Cespedes, the Cuban phenom A’s RBI leader, is out with a strained hand muscle, but it is not fractured as originally thought so he may yet play this series.

Tonight’s Player of the Pre-game:  Ramon Santiago.  Rockin’ Ramon is 11-20 against Colon.  If he has a good game, maybe he could slide over to 2B and give Raburn a, um, rest.

Today’s Dirkiriffic Lineup:

1. Austin Jackson CF
2. Andy Dirks LF
3. Miguel Cabrera 3B
4. Prince Fielder 1B
5. Delmon Young DH
6. Alex Avila C
7. Ryan Raburn 2B
8. Brennan Boesch RF
9. Ramon Santiago SS

15-14, 2 games behind Cle.

Boy, last night was fun. On a night when Verlander was far from his best (and apologetic for his on-field behavior), the offense came through and left just enough cushion for Valverde to load the bases on 3 walks (one intentional) before closing out the game. It’s been hashed and rehashed, but the blowpen has become a serious concern. In case you haven’t yet seen the numbers, the Tigers have already lost 4 games this year when they led after 8, which is 1 more than the last 4 years combined.

But a win is a win and the Tigers can win their second straight series tonight.

Smyly had his worst outing of the season last time out when he allowed 2 ER and 7 hits over 6 innings. Valverde calls that the 9th inning. Smyly’s ERA stands at an incredible 1.61 for the season with a 1.18 WHIP. And he’s averaging over a strike out per inning. We could not have asked for anything more out of the kid.

A few quick notes:

– Dirks and Fielder both have 4 consecutive multiple hit games.
– Fielder’s slash lines over his last four games .571/.647/1.071.
– Dirks’ slash lines over his last four games .470/.500/1.000.
– Inge hit a walk-off grand slam last night, and now has 2 HR and 8 RBIs in the last two games. Which are more than Raburn has this season.

Tonight’s what more does Andy Dirks need to do to get into the Lineup, even against Lefties Lineup is:

1. Jackson, CF
2. Boesch, RF (don’t like this)
3. Cabrera, 3B
4. Fielder, 1B
5. Young, DH
6. Raburn, LF (he had a hit last night)
7. Peralta, SS
8. Laird, C
9. Worth, 2B

Ah, memories! Doug Fister returned to the place where he began his career, was his usual effective self, and went home without a W, like he had so many times in the employ of Nintendo (a 3.33 2011 ERA was only good enough to get him a 3-12 record).

Implosion may be a fair word for the performance of Dotel last night, and with Valverde struggling, it seems the bullpen has now become a weak spot for the team.  But is it really worse than last season?  In 2011, Jose Valverde’s perfect save record overshadowed the fact that the bullpen as a whole just was not very good (remember Ryan Perry?). In fact the Tiger bullpen ERA was 3.93 last season, good for only 11th best in the AL.  The BP WHIP was 1.392, only better than the Twins.  This season so far the bullpen is giving up runs at the rate of 4.25 (10th), with a WHIP of 1.483 (worst).

So while the bullpen is struggling (it’s the W part of the WHIP that is killing them), it wasn’t exactly a strong point last season, other than Valverde’s stellar, and somewhat lucky performance.  And speaking of Valverde:  so far this season he has appeared in 6 non-save situations, vs only 7 save situations.  With the early season offensive struggles, the fact is that there are just fewer save situations this season than last.  Could the lack of a regular save situation routine be affecting Valverde?

Tonight Justin Verlander takes the mound and says bullpen? What’s that?

***

So let’s take a moment to contemplate the season Ryan Raburn is having.

He doesn’t have enough PAs to qualify for the league leaders, but if he did, he would lead the league in lowest BA, lowest OBP, lowest SLG, and of course lowest OPS.  Among all players with at least 75 PA he is by far the worst at .127 / .192 / .169 / .361, easily outpacing Seattle’s Brendan Ryan (hmm, there’s that name again) at .147 / .272 / .240 / .512, and Chicago’s Brent Morel (.182 / .217 / .205 / .422).

Jim Leyland, however, is sticking with him.  For one thing, he’s due.  For another, Leyland says, “This guy has had a pretty good track record the last two or three years.” Well…depends what you mean by track record.  Raburn has been good late in the season, but dependably bad early.

Ryan Raburn’s May track record:

• 2010 .115 BA .115 OBP .154 SLG .269 OPS 0 BB 7 K
• 2011 .113 BA .141 OBP .129 SLG .270 OPS 1 BB 22 K
• 2012 .059 BA .105 OBP .118 SLB .223 OPS 0 BB 9 K

In 114 May plate appearances since 2010, Raburn has 1 BB and 38 K. Yes, that really is a 38-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio you are seeing.

In other news, Brad Penny is available.

Tonight’s Player of the Pre-game:  Gerald Laird. With a lefty going for Seattle tomorrow, that game would have been the typical time to give Alex Avila a day off.  But Avila has been struggling mightily, striking out 5 times in his last 3 games, and has yet to plate a runner on 3rd with less than 2 out (6 attempts, 3 Ks and a GIDP). Laird looks to continue his improbable success at the plate (.316).  Although the downside is that he will not be available for pinch-running duties.

Today’s If 6th Doesn’t Work Maybe Bat HIm 4th Next Time Lineup:

1. Austin Jackson CF
2. Andy Dirks LF
3. Miguel Cabrera 3B
4. Prince Fielder 1B
5. Delmon Young DH
6. Ryan Raburn 2B
7. Jhonny Peralta SS
8. Brennan Boesch RF
9. Gerald Laird C

The 14-13, 2nd Place Tigers take the long bus ride to Seattle and take on the Mariners in a 3-game series.

Tonight marks the return of Doug Fister; from the DL, and to the team that traded him to the Tigers. To make room for Fister, the Tigers optioned Brayan Villarreal to Toledo.

Facing 6’8″ Doug Fister is Blake Beavan.  Taking on Fister is a tall order, but The Beave, at 6’7″ 240 could be up to the task.  It should be a big pitchers’ duel.

The Tigers headed west without broadcaster Jim Price, who is staying back for health reasons. Former Tiger pitcher Dan Petry will fill in for Price.

And it’s nice to see Dirks becoming a fixture in both left field and the two-hole.

Today’s Player of the Pregame: Ryan Raburn.  Raburn looks to get hot and work towards his career May average of .162.

Today’s Who’s On Second Lineup:

1. Austin Jackson CF
2. Andy Dirks LF
3. Miguel Cabrera 3B
4. Prince Fielder 1B
5. Delmon Young DH
6. Alex Avila C
7. Jhonny Peralta SS
8. Brennan Boesch RF
9. Ryan Raburn 2B

Though last night’s loss was pinned on Valverde, the offense has to take some of the blame. The offense went 2-8 with RISP and had only 2 doubles to go along with 7 singles. Other than Cabrera and Jackson, no one else has caught fire, and most of the guys are in minor slumps (Raburn is just Rayburn). I have every confidence that the team will hit. Not sure when, but we’ll be okay.

Now, let’s talk about Papa Grande. Valverde started the Sox off with 8 straight fastballs, and by the 6th one, the Sox were ahead. Valverde’s WHIP on the year is now an alarming 1.80, and he has almost as many walks (7) as Ks (8). A 6.35 K/9 is terrifying, considering his career average is over 10 per 9. A decline in K rate is usually the signal of the end for a closer. This is a small sample size, but note that Valverde has only 2 3 up 3 down innings in 12 appearances this year. We all know that Smokey isn’t reading and he’s ignoring this info as it’s being told to him internally, but I’m sure that DD is following along.

Dylan Axelrod slides into the rotation for the Sox after Chris Sale was sold to the farm. Axelrod has only three big league starts to his name, but one of them was an impressive 6 inning 6 hit 2 ER effort last September 14th against the Tigers. He doesn’t throw hard but he throws a lot of off-speed stuff which leads to swings and misses.

The Unpredictable Mr. Porcello takes the mound today for the Tigers who hope to stop their home series losing streak at 2.

In other news – Steve proposed a DTW get together over the 4th. I live in the Big D and not the D, so I would not be able to attend, but I think it’s a fine idea and I will be sure to bring it up as we get closer to the holiday. Also, if you missed it the first time around, Ed Randall, a Yankees Media guy, put some of his Tigers interviews onto DVD and offered us a discount. I’ve seen several of the interviews and they are really a great watch. More info here.

Today’s Series Clinching Lineup (as I would like to see it – I’ll post the real one when it’s up):

1. Jackson, CF
2. Dirks, LF
3. Cabrera, 3B
4. Fielder, 1B
5. Avila, C
6. Peralta, SS
7. Boesch, RF
8. Young, DH
9. Santiago, 2B

Updated lineup

1. Jackson, CF
2. Dirks, LF
3. Cabrera, 3B
4. Fielder, 1B
5. Young, DH
6. Avila, C
7. Peralta, SS
8. Boesch, RF
9. Rayburn, 2B

13-12, 2nd place, 1.5 games behind Cle

Jhonny Peralta may have hit the walk-off, but Alex Avila won that game.

On another night when the Tigers bats struggled against a front line pitcher, Avila reached base 4 times, banged out 2 XBHs, and started the 9th inning rally. Not to mention that Avila also called a tremendous game.

I don’t think it’s any coincidence that Avila has caught every one of Smyly’s start’s this year. Last night, Drew Smyly had another strong outing, striking out 7 and allowing only 2 runs in 6 IP.  That makes 4 straight quality starts, and his debut only didn’t qualify because of a pitch count limit.

Raburn lucked into his 2nd RBI of the season (he’s on pace for 14) when a fly ball he hit happened to be with a runner on 3rd and less than two outs. I’ve been a big Raburn supporter in the past, but this is too much. It’s only a matter of time before someone else on the farm gets a shot.

Mad Max against Gavin Floyd this afternoon. Last time out Floyd carried a no hitter into the 7th and ended up allowing 3 runs in 6 2/3 against Boston. He’s held the opposing team to 3 hits or less in 3 out of his last 4 starts, though he’s been roughed up in his other 2 starts this season.

Mad Max has been flat out awful this season. He’s posting a 2.04 WHIP through 5 starts, and while the Ks are there, he’s sporting a 7.77 ERA thus far. Part of that is bad luck, as his BABIP against him is a ridiculous .442, even though his LD% is near his career average. The BABIP and BAA (.346) will regress, but they won’t account for that much of an ERA swing. There is still plenty of time to work things out, but Jones & Smokey have got to be concerned.

Delmon Young is sorry, not a racist, and back in the lineup. He’s at least trying.

In player news – Leyland thinks that Schlereth’s shoulder injury may have had something to do with his poor performance before he was sent down to Toledo a few weeks ago.

Today’s Series Clinching Lineup Is:

1. Jackson, CF
2. Boesch, RF (I don’t like it)
3. Cabrera, 3B
4. Fielder, 1B
5. Young, DH
6. Avila, C
7. Peralta, SS
8. Dirks, LF (I like it)
9. RABurn, 2B (gonna help him get started today)

Today’s Game is the Fox Game of the Week.

(sorry for the delay, server was down, back now)

Last minute so this will be short, but a couple of newsworthy items:

– Fister is back and will start on Monday.

– Delmon Young’s suspension is over today and Leyland has said that he will DH tomorrow and Sunday.

The 12-11 Tigers, now only percentage points out of first, look to sweep the abbreviated 2-game home series with the Royals this afternoon.

Justin “No-Hitter” Verlander will take on Jonathan “No-Hitter” Sanchez.

Today’s player of the Pre-game:  Austin Jackson, who last night put up his 3rd 4-hit game already this season.

Today’s Dirks-Day-To-Day Lineup:

1. Austin Jackson CF
2. Brennan Boesch RF
3. Miguel Cabrera 3B
4. Prince Fielder 1B
5. Ryan RaburnLF
6. Jhonny Peralta SS
7. Alex Avila C
8. Brad Eldred DH
9. Danny Worth 2B