All posts by billfer

Game 90: Royals at Tigers

PREGAME: The Tigers will try to move to their record to 10-0 against the Royals this year. Tonight’s matchup features a couple of finesse left handed All Stars in Mark Redman and Kenny Rogers.

I don’t have a lot of notes tonight, except judging by the current weather conditions the pitcher that keeps the ball down tonight will win. It’s very breezy, very humid, and quite warm. If a thunderstorm doesn’t break out, I’d expect the ball to carry.

POSTGAME: And yet another interesting game against the Royals. I have to admit that I only saw bits and pieces of this game because I was at a party, and then driving home from a party. What I did see is that Kenny Rogers was getting hit hard, and often. The Tigers meanwhile hit a number of balls very well, and I mean more than their 10 runs courtesty of KC errors probably dictate. Guys were driving the ball to the right field and up the gaps. Many of those ended up in gloves, but I love the approach. Particularly of note is Brandon Inge who I lamented had been swining for the fences just last week. In his last 2 games he’s knocking line drives all over the place.

And of course there’s Carlos Guillen. If one CG doesn’t get it done, the other one surely will.

The win wasn’t pretty, but you have to give the Royals credit. They kept hitting all night, and it wasn’t just off of Rogers. Every Tiger pitcher struggled to get KC out. One of these nights, a 4 run lead will be too much to overcome.

Finding a groove

As everyone gets back into a baseball rhythym in the 2nd half, here are some links for your reading enjoyment:

  • The Daily Fungo has a podcast interview with TV play-by-play man Mario Impemba. I haven’t had a chance to listen to the interview yet. But it does remind me of one time I was at the Costco on Hall Road. It was during the winter and a guy almost walked in front of my car (while it was moving). That guy was Mario Impemba. Thus ends the lamest story ever.
  • Here is a very detailed examination of the sacrifice bunt. The quick sabermetric answer is that sac bunting is bad. However this empirical study finds evidence that in some situations it makes sense. Personally, I’m all for the sac bunt in a situation where you have a weak hitting, good bunting player. Especially in a close and late situation where one run will prove to be valuable.
  • Mike’s Baseball Rants notes that the Tigers are one of 47 teams to win 60 or more of their first 89 games. The complete list is available to peruse, but here is the relevant take away:

    Note that on average they end up with 103 wins, and all but four made the playoffs. The only team to finish with a sub-.600 winning percentage were the Tigers in 1911, not to look for bad omens or anything.

    And all 4 that didn’t make the playoffs were prior to the wildcard system.

  • As many have pointed out here, John Sickels has recapped his Tigers preseason top 20. I was going to blog this as part of a bigger review of the Tigers hitting prospects. It never happened, so take a look if you haven’t already.
  • Another site I’ve been meaing to link to for ages is the Baseball Card Blog. I encourage you to get lost in the site as you remember those days of wax packs and rack packs. If you came of age as a baseball fan in the 80’s, it’ll take you right back to your youth.
  • Henry Ford Health System’s site has a Q & A with Tigers team physician, internist Dr. Mike Workings.

Tigers Minor League Wrap – July 13th

Toledo 6, Scranton 5
Jack Hannahan was 2 for 4 with a walk and Josh Phelps homered. Dmitri Young continued his rehab stint, playing first base tonight. He was 1 for 4 with a strikeout. Jordan Tata started and went 6 innings allowing 4 runs on 6 hits. He allowed 2 dingers, walked 1, and fanned 4. Chris Spurling and Bobby Seay each had a scoreless inning of relief. In a roster move Mike Rabelo was promoted from Erie, taking Maxim St. Pierre’s spot.

Erie 5, Alttona 2
Brent Clevlen was 3 for 5 with his 7th homer. Jon Connolly went 7 innings allowing 2 runs on 8 hits.

Clearwater 2, Lakeland 1
Jeff Frazier went 2 for 4. Dallas Trahern pitched a 4 hit complete game. He allowed both runs, walked 2 and fanned 6.

West Michigan 6, Southwest Michigan 4
Cameron Maybin was 1 for 1. That one hit was a 3 run homer. His other 3 plate appearances were walks and he added 2 stolen bases. Dusty Ryan and Mike Hollimon both homered as well. Erik Averill pitched 7 innings and allowed 3 runs, 2 earned, on 7 hits.

Staten Island 5, Oneonta 4
Ron Bourquin doubled, singled and walked in 5 plate apperances. Zach Piccola was roughed up for 4 runs, 3 earned in only 2 innings. Casey Fien came on in reliefe and threw 5 scoreless innings.

GCL Tigers 7, GCL Indians 2
Audy Ciriaco ws 2 for 4. Orlando Rodriguez added a homer and a single. Luis Arlet tripled and singled and is now slugging 714.

Where am I?

So the family and I decided to head down for tonight’s game. The plan was to have dinner at Cheli’s Chili before heading into the park. We parked at Grand Circus just before 5:00pm and were quite surprised to see a line of 20 people waiting to get into Cheli’s. This is 2 hours before game time, on a Thursday, against the Royals.

Seemingly thwarted at Cheli’s, we turn the corner to head to Hockeytown, only to see another line.

What’s going on here? They weren’t playing the Yankees and it wasn’t a weekend. Roger Clemens wasn’t even in town. This is the Royals and it isn’t opening day.

We reversed course and decided to wait it out at Cheli’s, and really the wait wasn’t bad. Within 15 minutes we were sitting in the patio area outside. As we enjoyed our drinks (beers and lemonades) and waited for our food I was looking toward Comerica Park and the surrounding area. People were all over. They were laughing and smiling and enjoying a very warm summer night. It didn’t feel like Detroit. Continue reading Where am I?

Rotation Rotation

The Tigers are keeping the same pitching rotation heading into the second half. Jeremy Bonderman will take the ball first though as Leyland treats Kenny Rogers All Star appearance as a start. Essentially Justin Verlander misses a turn which should help on conserving his workload.

Baseball Prospectus muses further on the Tigers potential for a 6 man rotation once Mike Maroth returns. BP astutely points out that the reasons team consider 4 man rotations are because it his hard to find 5 quality starters. Yet the Tigers are fortunate enough to find themselves in a scenario where they can run 6 productive arms out.

UPDATE: Things have changed. I was working off of the Game Notes from today. Since I wrote this Jason Beck reports that the new rotation will be Bonderman-Rogers-Verlander-Miner-Robertson. In terms of order, all that really has changed is that Bonderman and Verlander have flipped.

Game 89: Royals at Tigers

PREGAME: The boys are back in town. After a long road trip and All Star break, the Tigers return for their only homestand of the month. Fans have been anxiously awaiting their return and gobbling up tickets in the meantime. When I was buying ticket for tonights game on Monday, I heard one of the ticket agents say that infield box seats are sold out for the month. It’s crazy.

As for the game itself, the Tigers look to continue their unbeaten streak against the Royals. Jeremy Bonderman takes the hill for Detroit. Tiger fans and Matt Stairs should be excited. Bonderman has a 1.82 ERA since June 1st and is striking out a batter an inning. In fact since May 24th Bonderman has allowed only 2 homers, one to Prince Fielder and the other was to…Matt Stairs. In his career Stairs is 8 for 16 with 3 homers off of Bonderman.

Brandon Duckworth will take the mound for the Royals. Duckworth is making just his 6th start and only once has he made it through the 6th inning while getting into 90-100 pitch territory each time.

Game Time 7:05pm

POSTGAME: That was definitely an unusual performance for Bonderman. At times he looked dominant fanning 8 in 5 2/3 innings. But then there were the 5 walks. And the 2 home runs. It was definitely a departure from the way he had been pitching.

As for the offense, 8 of the 9 starters picking up one hit each and sub Alexis Gomez joined in as well. Fortunately the Tigers picked up the bulk of their hits in the same inning. It’s easy to look at the Tigers inability to score guys in scoring position in the 7th and 8th innings and say they lacked timely hitting. But then you have to look at the 5th inning when they got hit after hit.

In any case, it’s nice to see them pick up where they left off.

Tigers Minor League Wrap – July 12th

AAA All Star Game
Ryan Raburn homered and Ryan Ludwick was 1 for 2 for the International League All Stars

Eastern League All Star Game
Kody Kirkland was 0 for 1 and Mike Rabelo 0 for 2. Nate bumstead gave up 4 walks and 3 hits for 3 runs in 2/3 of an inning. Brian Rogers came in to clean up after Bumstead and fanned 3 in 1 1/3 innings.

Lakeland 8, Clearwater 3
Jeff Larish was 1 for 3 with a double and a walk while Jeff Frazier homered and walked. Andrew Kown allowed 3 runs on 5 walks and 7 hits in 6 innings.

Southwest Michigan 6, West Michigan 5
Cameron Maybin was 2 for 3 with a triple, a stolen base, and a walk. Matt Joyce had the same line, minus the walk. Josh Rainwater lasted 5 innings allowing 3 runs. Anthony Claggett who has been lights out allowed 2 runs on 3 hits in 1/3 of an inning to raise his ERA all the way to 0.91.

Oneonta – PPD

GCL Tigers – PPD

Tigers Minor League Wrap – July 11th

This is the easiest one of the year, only the GCL is playing…

GCL Tigers 6, GCL Braves 5
Luis Arlet hit 2 homers in 4 at bats. Gorkys Hernandez seems to be slowing a little bit with back to back 1 for 4 nights. Audy Ciriaco continues to struggle with an 0 for 4, 2 K night. Matthew Righter allowed 2 runs, 1 earned, in 5 innings. Paul Hammond pitched 3 2/3 innings of relief. He didn’t allow a baserunner and fanned 3.

Keeping an Eye on… Predictions

Prior to the season I did a series of posts on items or storylines that I thought could be key to the Tigers success. Here at the break, I thought I’d Keep and Eye on my Keeping an Eye on series

Chuck Hernandez and the Pitching Staff

With the best ERA in baseball, I think it is safe to say that Hernandez has worked out okay as a pitching coach.

One of the stats I wanted to observe were K rates and pitches per plate appearance, as Bob Cluck was an advocate of pitching to contact to conserve pitches. Well, in the case of Jeremy Bonderman his strikeouts are at a career high 8.35) and his pitches per plate appearance are at a career low (3.52). Nate Robertson’s numbers are in line with his career, as are Mike Maroth’s. Interestingly, Verlander is allowing 3.77 pitches per plate appearance, which is more than Robertson or Bonderman, but striking out fewer.

In terms of the minor leagues, we’ve the the organization reward solid pitching performances with the early promotions of Jair Jurrjens, Jon Connolly and Humberto Sanchez. We also saw Jordan Tata jump a couple levels. The system has seemed to be slow to promote in the past (see Jordan Tata at Lakeland all year).

Finally we haven’t really seen or heard that much of Hernandez. Leyland seems to make more trips to the mound than Hernandez. Hernandez just gets the occasional trip to talk mechanics or scouting reports, but those seem to be few and far between which may be a testament to improved preparation.

Kevin Rand

Ah, the injury watch. The Tigers have been hit by injuries, but the training staff has done a good job keeping players on the field. The Tigers lost Mike Maroth for probably 2-3 months, and of course Craig Dingman and Troy Percival were lost before the season. Dmitri Young strained his hamstring, not to mention alot of other stuff that was beyond the realm of physical rehab. And Craig Monroe was sidelined for a couple weeks with an ankle sprain.

Yet the nagging injuries have been kept in check. Carlos Guillen had some knee pain, but didn’t miss significant time. Ordonez had a bruise that only slowed him for a couple games. Placido Polanco had a back injury that limited his performance but he was able to work through with out missing time. Marcus Thames had knee tendonitis but it didn’t slow him down.

The training staff and some well timed rest have kept the key cogs in the lineup. Now everybody find some wood to knock on it until your knuckles are bloody.

Productive At Bats

Jim Leyland called for more productive at-bats and better situational hitting. I’m not really sure the Tigers have improved in this area. In terms of strikeouts – which are for all intents and purposes are completely unproductive – the Tigers still whiff a ton. In terms of plate discipline, their ratio of 2.7 K/BB is the same as it was last year.

The biggest change in offense has been an increase in power. Their ISO went from 157 last year to 184 this year. They are also a little bit better at not making outs with the OBP going from 321 to 330.

But in terms of productive outs and manufacturing runs…it doesn’t feel any different, but I can’t quantify it one way or the other.

The Erie Seawolves

My thinking here was simple, a bunch of players who could help the team in the future (or in trade packages in the present) would be at Erie. The results have been mixed. Erie’s offense has been largely non-existent as Brent Clevlen (103 K’s, 319 SLG) and Kody Kirkland (109K’s) have struggled to make contact. Kirkland has decent power numbers (17 homers), but that is it. Tony Giarratano has been up and down and may now have a torn ACL. Jeff Frazier started off well, but has faded badly (231/272/339). This group has recently been joined with fellow 40 man roster-ees Don Kelly and Nook Logan who were struggling mightily in Toledo.

The pitchers have had more success. Jordan Tata who was slated to head to Erie instead went all the way to the pro’s and now finds himself succeeding at AAA Toledo. Humberto Sanchez (1.76 ERA, 86 K’s, 71 2/3 IP) did so well he earned a promotion and a start in the Future’s Game. Eulogio De La Cruz (3.75 ERA, 46 K, 57 2/3 IP, 1 HR) started the season getting shelled, but has calmed down considerably. And Jair Jurrjens who started in A ball has earned a spot in the Erie rotation and is having considerable success for a 20 year old in AA (3-1, 2.00 ERA).

Tigers Minor League Wrap – July 10th

Toledo – All Star Break

Altoona 7, Erie 1
Erie only mustered 3 hits last night. Jair Jurrjens allowed 4 hits and 3 unearned runs in 5 innings of work. He walked 2 and fanned 3.

Lakeland – PPD

Cedar Rapids 6, West Michigan 5
Michael Hollimon had a 2 for 3 night and Pedro Cotto was 2 for 4. Sendy Vasquez only lasted 4 innings and he gave up 3 runs, 2 earned, on 6 hits and 3 walks. Loren Fraser allowed a walk and solo homer in 3 innings of relief as he fanned 5.

Jamestown 6, Oneonta 1
Again, not much offense to report here. Brennan Boesch had a double in 4 at-bats. Chris Krawczyk fanned 4 of the 7 hitters he faced in 2 innings of work allowing only a walk. Brett Jensen added another scoreless inning and another strikeout.

GCL Tigers 6, GCL Phillies 5
Luis Arlet was 2 for 4 with a double and Gorkys Hernandez doubled in 4 at-bats. Kyle Sleeth made another short appearance – but with better results. He allowed 4 hits and 2 unearned runs in 2 innings walking none and striking out 1. He was followed by Christian Martinez who went 5 innings allowing 3 runs on 4 hits.

Open Thread: Hope and Surprise

There was a request for some open threads during the All Star break. I’m happy to oblige. Here are today’s topics for discussion:

  • At what point did you become a believer in this team?
  • What or who has been the biggest surprise of the first half?
  • Who do you think will have the biggest impact for the Tigers after the All Star break?
  • What has been your favorite Rod Allenism of the first half?