All posts by billfer

Baseball Prospectus – The Jack Morris Project

Baseball Prospectus – The Jack Morris Project

As I said, I don’t know what the performance record of someone who had successfully pitched to the score would look like. I am certain, though, that for a pitcher to build his Hall of Fame case on the notion that he did such a thing, he couldn’t have put his team behind in nearly two-thirds of his career starts, and he couldn’t have blown leads once a month throughout his career.

Peter Gammons

Peter Gammons on Bonderman

Wednesday night, Bonderman shut down the A’s with eight brilliant innings and this line: 8 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 5 K. He threw in the 90’s with a dominating curveball and when Matt Anderson escaped the ninth, the Tigers had their second win of the season, 4-1. “It was a tremendous feeling,” Bonderman said. “It was especially meaningful because the first call I got in the clubhouse was from Billy Beane, who congratulated me and told me how proud he is to have had me in the organization.”

ESPN.com: MLB – Magic number for Yankees, Tigers: 110

Rob Neyer: Magic number for Yankees, Tigers: 110

That said, what I didn’t discover until later is that the Tigers, who lost 106 games last season, were significantly worse than their terrible record. Given their runs scored (575) and allowed (864), we’d have expected the Tigers rack up 112 losses rather than 106. And if you’re trying to predict this year going off last year, you’ll do better if you consider the 2002 Tigers a 112-loss team. And is it really such a stretch to assume that a team with three Rule 5 pitchers and a starting rotation completely populated by question marks might lose eight more games than it did a year ago?

1st win for Bonderman, 2nd for Tigers

1st win for Bonderman, 2nd for Tigers

Bonderman struck out five and walked none. With his fastball humming and his slider breaking sharply, Bonderman retired 17 straight from the second inning until Terrence Long tripled with one out in the eighth. Long scored on a groundout.

Bonderman pitched a hell of a game. Most telling was his control. No walks, and he got through 8 innings on only 101 pitches. Kudos to Tram for pulling him after 8 instead of letting him pile up unnecessary wear and tear. Unfortunately, Matt Anderson was shaky and had to rely on Higginson pulling two runs back by reaching into the stands to snare a home run.

More Tiger suckiness

More from Jayson Stark

The more we survey baseball people about the Tigers, the more we wonder if they’ll even win 50 games.

One AL scout’s evaluation: “They’ve got a chance to threaten the ’62 Mets (40-120). They really do. They can’t catch the ball. They don’t hit. They’ve got a couple of pitchers who are OK. But their kids have no energy and their veterans provide no leadership. They’re in worse shape than Tampa Bay because at least Tampa Bay has the best manager in the league. Lou can only do so much over there, but at least they’re all afraid not to play their tails off.”