So all three Tiger free agents have reached the disabled list this season – and we’re not even a quarter of the way into the season. Troy Percival will be out 3-4 weeks with a shoulder problem.

Good thing the Tigers held on to Ugueth Urbina.

Jamie Walker and Franklyn German stand to see more work as Trammell tries to keep Kyle Farnsworth’s bicep healthy.

UPDATE: The injury is described as ” a partial tear of his right flexor pronator muscle mass.” Chris Spurling will take his place on the roster.

Because I’m swamped at work right now, and my normal Tiger blogging time was consumed by attending the last two games, I’m going to keep this short. I’ll get a runner on base with a few brief comments, and then I’ll bunt to keep your interest moving along with a few links of note.

-Nate Robertson looked more impressive on Wednesday night. The walks were down significantly for him. The stadium radar gun had him in the low 90’s – even at 94. I’m not sure if Chicago’s gun was slow or Detroit’s was fast, but I don’t believe a swing that big in velocity between two starts.

-With regard to one run losses, I’ve done a little more work along those lines to follow up my earlier post. Hopefully I can get that done early next week. Until then let me pose this question: Would Alan Trammell be getting less heat if his team was losing by more than one run? Everybody is quick to jump on the manager for one-run losses, but isn’t it better than they’re playing competitive than getting blown out? I realize that winning is preferrable to both, but I just wonder if the Tigers were losing big if Tram would be getting the same criticism for losing close. Of all the criticisms leveled against Trammell this season, the only one I think holds water is that he’s resting guys way too much.

-Despite having one of the largest scoreboards in the majors, it is amazing how little information is presented. I’ll have more on this later also.

-Jim Hawkins had an interesting piece about Bobby Higginson.

Higginson’s unhappiness is such an old and tired story. First he wants a no trade clause, then he wants to be traded, then he wants to stay, now he wishes he was playing someplace else. I tried to find some value in Higginson this offseason, and I hoped he’d take to the spot-player role better. However, he needs to be released, and released as soon as Craig Monroe’s groin is healed.

-John Sickels spent 3 nights watching Burlington play West Michigan and has some reports and pictures. Here are photos of Brent Duglach and Jeff Frazier. Here are pictures of Andrew Kown and some commentary. Here is a post about Randor Bierd.
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-Tigerblog has added a new writer and he debuts with an excellent article about how the last ten years have taken a toll on the Tigers place in history.

-Finally, here are some links to newly discovered Detroit sports blogs: Terry Foster, MgoBlog, and Greg Eno.

I’ve mentioned in my last several posts how the Tigers’ pitchers are walking way too many hitters as of late. Once again they paid the price last night. Since it’s being covered extensively in the papers, I’ll just throw out this one arcane stat:

The last time Tiger pitchers allowed 31 or more walks in a five game stretch was at the end of the 1999 season. September 18th through the 22nd they allowed 10, 8, 7, 5, and 4 walks. Unfortunately I didn’t have last seasons logs easily searchable, so I’m hoping it didn’t happen last year. (Information once again from Retrosheet)

Aside from the walks, three other things stood out watching the game last night:

1. On the grand slam, Mike Maroth shook Pudge off on the pitch. Now it doesn’t seem to happen too often that Pudge gets shaken off. However, when it does happen, the ball tends to find the seats. I don’t have any proof of this, I’m just working from observation here. It could be that pitchers shake off Rodriguez all the time, and I have some sort of weird sense to only notice the times before a home run. It just seems that every time I see the pitcher look in and shake his head, I think to myself “Something bad’s going to happen,” or if I’m feeling more musically inclined I think “Eli’s coming.”

2. If you read regularly, you know that I’m generally a supporter of Craig Monroe and I expect him to be pretty good this year. Now granted, Monroe has picked up 19 RBI this season, but his approach after Carlos Guillen’s triple was disappointing. There’s one out, and at the time an important runner on third. Monroe didn’t seem to adjust his swing and it looked like he was swinging for the fences. It resulted in a pop up. Fortunately Thames picked him up with a two out single.

3. Pudge and Marcus Thames both homered on pitches high in the strike zone. I don’t have a lot to say about this except that those are typically the pitches, the high hard ones, that guys can’t hit and can’t lay off. For two players that have been struggling up until last night, it was nice to see them find the seats.

And that’s it for today. I’m off to tonight’s game, and I’ll be attending tomorrow’s as well. I haven’t been to a game for a while, so I should be able to handle the day game after a night game.

Watching the game last night, I noticed that Tiger hitters were bashing quite a few extra base hits. Craig Monroe had a double in the first. Brandon Inge, Omar Infante, and Carlos Guillen all tripled. And of course Carlos Pena had two dingers. While I know that the above sample has a mix of lefties and righties, what really struck me was the right hand hitters going up-the-middle or to the opposite field.

Monroe’s double was down the right field line into the corner, and Inge and Infante both drove the ball deep into the gap in right centerfield. In fact, from watching Inge it seems like most of his success this season has come from driving the ball up the middle or over the second baseman’s head. I took a look at his Hit Chart from MLB.com. Below is a cropped screenshot:

I wish that MLB.com would let you combine the results of all parks, but they make you pick a park so I went with Comerica. You can see that Inge isn’t really trying to pull the ball this year, and he’s had great success. He also hasn’t sacrificed power in not pulling. He’s still accumulated extra base hits, but he’s getting them in the right-center gap.

Now let’s contrast this with Omar Infante who’s numbers have been down this year (although not significantly). Below are Omar’s hit charts from
last year and this year.

While Infante has several ground balls to second, he hasn’t driven the ball to rightfield with any regularity. Last year he accumulated more hits pulling the ball, but he did a better job using the whole field. Hopefully last night’s triple (and his double to left center) will be a sign of things to come.

Other Stuff
Jeremy Bonderman looked tremendous in the first inning, but he followed the trap of other Tigers’ pitchers recently and allowed 5 walks in 6 innings. The difference is Bonderman is good enough to get guys to swing and miss on occasion.

The Tigers closed out April as one of the top defensive teams in the American League. Given that the Tigers were one of the worst defensive teams last year, and they only really switched two positions, this is unexpected. Especially considering that one of the upgrades was moving a corner outfielder to center (Monroe), and a catcher to third (Inge). Now as of late, said corner outfielder is back in right and there is a gazelle patrolling centerfield.

Nonetheless, I was surprised to see the Tigers right behind the White Sox in defense efficiency rating which is simply a measure of the percentage of balls-in-play that are converted to outs. The Tigers are at .7215 against a league average of .6952. This clearly warrants further investigation.

If you look at conventional fielding stats, the Tigers don’t fare nearly as well. They’re 10th in fielding percentage, 8th in errors, and 10th in double plays. While those are improvements on last year, they still are in the bottom half of the league.

So how are the Tigers doing it, if they’re doing it?

The ever valuable Hardball Times statistics shed a little light on the subject. While the Tiger pitchers are allowing fewer infield flys than the league average (infield pop-ups are the most fieldable of all balls in play), they are league average when it comes to ground ball/flyball ratio and they are the best at preventing line drives. Line drives of course being the least fieldable type of ball in play. Now whethter or not the lack of line drives has anything to do with the pitching staff or if it is a matter of luck remains to be seen.

Typically the performance of a pitcher is dependent on the defense behind them. However in this case, the performance of the defense may depend on the pitchers’ ability to serve up easy to field balls.

What a horrible series. The Tigers’ were fortunate to come away with a victory on Friday night, let a lead slip away on Saturday, and just played lousy on Sunday. And there’s nothing like a two game losing streak before the Fire Tram talk starts up. While Trammell did make some mistakes this series, I’m not pinning Saturday’s loss on him, and no amount of managing could overcome a 8-0 drubbing on Sunday.

Trammell received the most criticism for sticking with Jason Johnson even though he was “struggling” in the 7th inning on Saturday. While he did hit the Aaron Rowand leading off the inning, here are Johnson’s subsequent struggles and the count:
-Ground Ball (1-1 count)
-Ground Ball (first pitch)
-Sacrifice Bunt (first pitch)
-Ground Ball (1-0 count)
-Ground Ball (1-1 count)

Only of those ground balls was hit hard. I’m not sure that constitutes struggling, especially considering Johnson is a ground ball pitcher. He wasn’t falling behind, and guys were driving the ball into the ground – not the gaps. While I probably would have walked Podsednik to load the bases and try for the double play, I don’t fault Trammell for sticking with Johnson.

Now pinch-hitting Ramon Martinez was suspect. I understand that Carlos Pena has been in a funk, but if you’re going to pinch hit why use somebody who has one at-bat for the whole season?

Also, the resting the starter concept needs some work. I understand that Guillen was sore (reports are that he hurt his hamstring Saturday night, but I could have swore I saw him limping at first base after his 10th inning single on Friday night.), and that Young was sick. But knowing two of your top hitters were out, why subsititute another starter (Infante)?

Changing Sox
Finished for the time being with the White Sox, the Tigers have a 4 game set against the Red Sox. Cool temperatures might supress the crowds, but not the excitement of having the World Champs in town. I’m really looking forward to reading Blue Cats and Red Sox as her favorite team (the Red Sox) take on her second favorite team (the Tigers).

I don’t normally do reports on individual games, but there was enough interesting stuff going on last night to warrant it.

First, the Tigers had no business winning that game last night. Tigers’ pitchers gave up 11 walks and they hit a batter. In the irony of ironies, Franklyn German didn’t allow any of the walks as he picked up the save with the easiest inning of the night. Between 1970 and 2003 there were 596 times that a team amassed 11 or more walks in a game (I love Retrosheet). However, only 48 of those times did the team fail to win the game. Only six times did those teams fail to score more than 2 runs. The White Sox had the leadoff hitter on in 9 different innings and only mustered one run. That game was the White Sox for the taking, but they failed to do so. That being said, I don’t want to take anything away from the Tigers. They picked up the win and they deserve it. They got the hits when they needed them. This was just one of those games that they happened to “steal.”

Second, something is wrong with Nate Robertson. He only hit 90mph a couple times that I can remember last night. I know it was cold so his 87mph velocity in the first couple innings didn’t concern me because he was probably still getting warm. However, he never really moved above that throughout the game. With his 7:1 walk to strikeout ratio last night, his numbers for the season are 15 walks, and 9 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings. Don’t let the one run and 4 hits fool you, last night was not a good performance. He benefitted from two balls being caught at the wall, and two double plays. His BABIP for the season is .260, against a league average of .297. That is probably going to catch up with him sooner rather than later. I’m concerned that Robertson is injured. Often times a loss in velocity is a sign of shoulder troubles, while a loss of control is indicative of elbow problems. Nate seems to have lost both. Hopefully there is just a problem with his mechanics, but it is safe to say that Robertson is the pitcher that should have Tiger fans most concerned.

Third, I haven’t written much about Nook Logan, simply because I didn’t expect him to be in the lineup this much. I knew he was fast, I knew he could play defense. I didn’t know he’d hit as well as he has for as long as he has. When his hit in the 11th inning made it to the wall last night, you knew it would be an easy triple. I’m still doubtful that he can hit enough to warrant a spot in the lineup, but I’d be more than happy to have him prove me wrong.

So in the end, the Tigers got the win. They survived shaky pitching, due in large part to Chicago’s shaky hitting. In any case, they’ve won five in a row against division rivals (and the real kind of rivals, not the Royals). They’ve also guaranteed themselves a .500 record in April. All in all, not a bad month.

The trouble with work is that it tends to get in the way of hobbies, kind of like this blog. I was in San Luis Obispo this week, and I found myself with out a lot of time to write. The result is another crappy bullet point post.

4 game Fun
So the Tigers have been battling the weather, and losing. Fortunately, they’ve been battling their opponents and winning. The result if a 4 game, six day win streak. Without changing tactics, the Tigers have suddenly figured out how to win close games. Their wins include an extra inning one run game, another one run win, a two run win, and a blowout.

Finally, Trammell’s plan for a Farnsworth 7th, Urbina 8th, and Percival 9th came to fruition in last night’s contest. The 3 relievers protected a one run lead over the last 3 innings.

During the 4 game stretch, the Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.03, a K/9 of 7.1, and K/BB ratio of 3:1. The last two numbers are especially impressive considering that Mike Maroth pitched two of the games.

Top Heavy
Last night the Tigers’ first 5 hitters were a combined 7 for 18 for a .389/.450/.556 night. On the other hand, the bottom 4 hitters were a combined 0 fer 14 with 6 strikeouts (half of which belonged to Carlos Pena). The only offensive bright spot for the Tigers bottom hitters was a Craig Monroe sacrifice fly.

The good news is that the top of the order continues to produce. Brandon Inge, Ivan Rodriguez, Carlos Guillen, Rondell White, and Dmitri Young are a combined .354/.401/.551 with 82 runs created.

Picking their spots
Alan Trammell’s troops ahve only attempted 9 stolen bases this year, and they’ve been successful on all but one attempt. Conversely, opponents have tried 18 times to run on the Tigers, but have been gunned down 56% of the time.

Justin Time
So this Verlander kid might just work out. In last night’s start he through seven innings of two hit ball, striking out 12 against two walks.

A reader recently sent me a Tiger artifact he happened to come across. It is a pristine Tigers pocket schedule from 1972. Aside from this being a very thoughtful gesture from a generous stranger, the pocket schedule is a great way to look back in baseball time.

I scanned in the schedule, and the pictures are below.

The first thing I really noticed is how plain and simple it was. It had only 3 panels, front and back, and could easily fit in your wallet. It is a far cry from the 2005 pocket schedule. The 2005 edition is glossy and has Pudge on the front. It is four panels with an extra horizontal fold that makes it almost the size of a sheet of paper. While the newer version is much bigger, the only piece of additional relevant information is a seating chart.

The 1972 schedule also brought back memories of the old Tiger in the circle logo which was classic. The schedule itself also denotes the long since defunct “Ladie Day.” It also had schedule doubleheaders, Twi-night and conventional. Make sure to take note of the ticket prices, because if you had $4 you could buy yourself a box seat. You could by that seat either in person, by mail-order, or at the store formerly known as Hudsons.

I don’t remember when the Tigers abandoned the simple 3 panel schedule, but I wish they’d go back to it. The newer ones are just too bulky with too much wasted space. Unforunately, the chances of that happening are probably only slightly better than the chances of them returning to $4 box seats.

In any case, I just wanted to share this with you and thank Vern who sent it to me.

We knew going into the season that the Tigers’ pitching staff wouldn’t be a strikeout heavy staff. Bonderman as the ace would pile up quite a few, and Nate Robertson would be okay. But we knew that Jason Johnson at best was near average and Maroth and Ledezma would be below average. That’s why after the opening series against the Royals when the team piled up 24 strikeouts against 3 walks over the 3 games, things were looking pretty good. (Even if it was the Royals). Unfortunately in the 11 games since that series, the Tigers’ staff only has 51 strikeouts.

The starters in particular have been having a hard time getting K’s. In those 11 games the rotation has only accounted for 29 strikeouts or a K/9 of 4.26. Bonderman has struck out the most batters with 9 in two apperances, but his resulting K/9 is only 5.79. Jason Johnson hasn’t struck out a batter since his first apperance on April 7th (granted in one of his two apperances since, he only retired one batter). As Danny Knobler pointed out Johnson was the first Tiger to win a game without recording a strikeout since Nate Cornejo did it in 2003. Johnson wasn’t the only starter to make a K-less appearance for the Tigers this season though. When Nate Robertson was battling a virus and was roughed up by the Twins he failed to record a strikeout in 5 innings of work despite allowing 5 walks and two hit batsmen.

So why is the strikeout so important? Because it is the only out that pitchers have complete control over. It’s the only out that minimizes bad luck. If you look to the first game of the Minnesota series, Ugueth Urbina might have gotten out of the inning if a hard chopper into the ground didn’t take a turf bounce over the head of Brandon Inge. Even the Tigers benefited from this as Omar Infante drove in a run on a broken bat blooper. It’s also an out that pretty much ensures a runner won’t advance. Looking again at the Minnesota game, Jamie Walker got Jacque Jones to hit a weak grounder to second. Unfortunately there was a runner on third who scored on the play.

While putting more pressure on the defense is never a good thing, it is especially true of a defense that wasn’t expected to be that good. Fortunately, the Tigers defense hasn’t been bad. While the Tigers have 12 errors as a team, 3 have been by pitchers. And of those errors, only two have allowed runners to reach base (which is actually fewest in the AL). Their defensive efficiency, which is the percentage of balls in play that are converted to outs is .7107. That’s slightly above the league average of .6976 and 6th best in the AL.

Also fortunate for the Tigers, is that the starters have been pretty stingy allowing walks as well. While Nate Robertson has struggled and has a K/BB ratio of 1.0, the remaining starters have a ratio of 3.27. Robertson alone has accounted for 8 of the starters’ 19 walks. As long as the staff can supress the walks, it will help mitigate the low strike out rate.

Looking forward I’d expect Jeremy Bonderman to increase his strike out rate. He’s had higher rates in the past, and he has looked good enough this season for it to continue. Mike Maroth will probably stay about the same – he’s just not a strike out guy. Jason Johnson should improve slightly. He’s a little below his career numbers. However, if he can keep inducing ground balls with his sinker/two-seamer that isn’t a bad way to go either. Ledezma struck out quite a few guys at Erie last year, but was about a 5k/9 pitcher at the major league level. He clearly is still developing so I’m not sure where he’ll end up. Nate Robertson is the starter I’m most concerned with. His strikeout rate was very high early in the season (8.1 K/9 through June 30th), but it faded as the season wore on last year (6.1 K/9 from July 1st on). That combined with his struggles early this year has me a little worried. The good news is that this is only through three starts and he could just be in a slump. However, it is something to keep an eye on as the season progresses.

References: All the data points that refer to anything over a given time period came from the Day by Day Database. A creation of Baseball Musings mastermind David Pinto.